9-month cycle
Schedule: 10-week lows starting from Sep 21, 2001
_ cycle tendencies
_ 10-week SPX change high low range
Sep 21, 01 start 945 none
Oct 18 green 1068 +123 1107 +162 N.A. N.A.
Nov 14 yellow 1141 + 73 1148 + 80 1053 - 15 95
Dec 7 red 1158 + 17 1173 + 32 1125 - 16 48
Jan 3, 02 green 1165 + 7 1167 + 9 1114 - 44 53
Jan 29 yellow 1101 - 64 1177 + 12 1099 - 66 78
Feb 22 red 1090 - 11 1130 + 29 1074 - 27 56
Mar 19 green 1170 + 80 1174 + 84 1090 - 0 84
Apr 12 yellow 1111 - 59 1170 + 0 1102 - 68 68
May 8 red 1089 - 22 1133 + 22 1049 - 62 84
Jun 4 green 1041 - 48 1106 + 17 1030 - 59 76
Jun 28 yellow 990 - 51 1050 + 9 953 - 88 97
Jul 24 red 843 -147 994 + 4 776 -214 218
Aug 20 green 937 + 94 951 +108 816 - 27 135
Sep 13 yellow 890 - 47 963 + 26 870 - 67 93
Oct 10 red 804 - 86 903 + 13 769 -121 134
Nov 5 green 915 +111 924 +120 804 - 0 120
Dec 2 yellow 934 + 19 954 + 39 872 - 43 81
Dec 26 red 890 - 44 934 + 0 880 - 54 54
Jan 21, 03 green 887 - 3 935 + 45 869 - 21 66
Feb 18 yellow 851 - 36 890 + 3 806 - 81 84
Mar 12 red 804 - 47 852 + 1 789 - 62 63
Apr 7 green 880 + 76 905 +101 804 - 0 101
May 2 yellow 930 + 50 930 + 50 863 - 17 67
May 28 red 953 + 23 959 + 29 912 - 18 47
Jun 23 green 982 + 29 1015 + 62 946 - 7 69
Jul 18 yellow 993 + 11 1015 + 33 962 - 20 53
Aug 6 red 967 - 26 1001 + 8 961 - 32 40
Sep 2 green 1022 + 55 1022 + 55 964 - 3 58
Sep 29 yellow 1006 - 16 1040 + 18 995 - 27 45
Oct 22 red 1030 + 24 1054 + 48 990 - 16 64
Nov 17 green 1043 + 13 1064 + 34 1018 - 12 46
Dec 15 yellow 1068 + 25 1083 + 40 1031 - 12 52
Jan 7, 04 red 1126 + 58 1126 + 58 1068 - 0 58
Feb 2 green 1135 + 9 1155 + 29 1115 - 11 40
Feb 27 yellow 1145 + 10 1159 + 24 1124 - 11 35
Mar 24 red 1091 - 54 1163 + 18 1087 - 58 76
Apr 14 green 1128 + 37 1150 + 59 1091 - 0 59
May 5 yellow 1121 - 7 1147 + 19 1107 - 21 40
May 25 red 1113 - 8 1121 + 0 1076 - 45 45
Jun 18 green 1135 + 22 1142 + 29 1110 - 3 32
Jul 15 yellow 1107 - 28 1146 + 11 1106 - 29 40
Aug 13 red 1065 - 4 1116 + 9 1061 - 40 49
Sep 7 green 1121 + 56 1124 + 59 1065 - 0 59
Sep 29 yellow 1115 - 6 1140 + 22 1101 - 17 39
Oct 22 red 1096 - 38 1142 + 8 1094 - 40 48
Nov 22 green 1177 + 81 1188 + 92 1090 - 6 98
Dec 23 yellow 1210 + 33 1214 + 37 1171 - 6 43
Jan 21, 05 red 1168 - 42 1218 + 8 1168 - 42 50
Feb 23 green 1191 + 23 1212 + 44 1164 - 4 48
Mar 22 yellow 1172 - 19 1229 + 38 1169 - 22 60
Apr 20 red 1137 - 35 1192 + 20 1136 - 36 56
May 16 green 1173 + 36 1179 + 42 1137 - 0 42
Jun 10 yellow 1198 + 26 1209 + 36 1160 - 13 49
Jul 6 red 1195 - 3 1219 + 21 1188 - 10 31
Aug 9 green 1231 + 36 1246 + 51 1183 - 12 63
Sep 9 yellow 1205 - 39 1246 + 15 1201 - 30 45
Oct 13 red 1177 - 28 1242 + 37 1168 - 37 74
Nov 7 green 1223 + 46 1225 + 48 1170 - 7 55
Dec 5 yellow 1262 + 39 1271 + 48 1215 - 8 56
Dec 30 red 1246 - 16 1283 + 29 1246 - 16 45
Jan 25, 06 green 1265 + 11 1295 + 41 1245 - 1 42
Feb 22 yellow 1293 + 28 1294 + 29 1253 - 12 41
Mar 17 red 1307 - 14 1310 + 17 1268 - 25 42
Apr 12 green 1288 - 19 1314 + 7 1282 - 25 32
May 9 yellow 1325 + 37 1327 + 39 1281 - 7 46
Jun 2 red 1288 - 37 1325 + 0 1245 - 80 80
Jun 29 green 1273 - 15 1288 + 0 1219 - 69 69
Jul 25 yellow 1270 - 3 1276 + 3 1270 - 3 6
Aug 18 red
Sep 12 green
Oct 5 yellow
Oct 27 red
22-week cycle
Sep 17-21, 01 base low 944 next high 1173 on Dec 06 (week 11)
Dec 03-07, 01 11 weeks high 1173 next high 1177 on Jan 07 (week 4)
Feb 18-22, 02 22 weeks trough low 1074 next high 1173 on Mar 11 (week 3)
May 06-10, 02 11 weeks low 1049 next high 1106 on May 17 (week 1)
Jul 22-26, 02 22 weeks trough low 775 next high 965 on Aug 22 (week 4)
Oct 07-11, 02 55 weeks trough low 768 next high 954 on Dec 02 (week 7)
Dec 23-27, 02 11 weeks low 873 next high 935 on Jan 13 (week 2)
Mar 10-14, 03 22 weeks trough low 789 next high 965 on May 30 (week 11)
May 19-23, 03 10 weeks high 944 next high 1015 on Jul 14 (week 7)
Aug 4- 8, 03 21 weeks trough flat 960 next high 1048 on Oct 21 (week 11)
Oct 20-24, 03 11 weeks high 1048 next high 1132 on Jan 9 (week 11)
Jan 5- 9, 04 22 weeks high 1132 next high 1163 on Mar 5 (week 8)
Mar 22-26, 04 54 weeks trough low 1087 next high 1150 on Apr 5 (week 2)
May 24-28, 04 9 weeks flat 1090 next high 1146 on Jun 25 (week 4)
Aug 9-13, 04 20 weeks trough low 1061 next high 1142 on Oct 7 (week 8)
Oct 25-29, 04 11 weeks flat 1090 next high 1218 on Jan 3 (week 9)
Jan 17-21, 05 23 weeks high 1186 next high 1229 on Mar 7 (week 6)
Apr 18-22, 05 56 weeks trough low 1169 next high 1219 on Jun 22 (week 9)
Jul 22-28, 05 13 weeks high 1245 next high 1246 on Aug 3 (week 1)
Oct 7-13, 05 24 weeks trough low 1168 next high 1273 on Dec 6 (week 8)
Dec 23-29, 05 11 weeks high 1254 next high 1311 on Mar 21 (week 11)
Mar 17-23, 06 11 weeks high 1305 next high 1327 on May 8 (week 8)
Jun 2- 8, 06 11 weeks trough low 1235 next high 1275 on Jun 30 (week 3)
Aug 18-24, 06 11 weeks
Nov 3- 9, 06 11 weeks trough
26-week Dow cycle troughs
Oct 9, 98 Dow 7379
Apr 9, 99 Dow 9826 length 26 weeks
Oct 22, 99 Dow 9884 length 28 weeks
Mar 10, 00 Dow 9611 length 20 weeks
Oct 20, 00 Dow 9571 length 32 weeks
Mar 23, 01 Dow 9106 length 22 weeks
Sep 21, 01 Dow 8062 length 26 weeks
Feb 8, 02 Dow 9580 length 20 weeks
Oct 10, 02 Dow 7197 length 35 weeks
Mar 12, 03 Dow 7416 length 22 weeks
Aug 6, 03 Dow 8997 length 22 weeks
Mar 24, 04 Dow 10007 length 32 weeks
Aug 13, 04 Dow 9784 length 20 weeks
Apr 20, 05 Dow 10010 length 36 weeks
Oct 13, 05 Dow 10156 length 25 weeks
sample size 14 Spring low sample 7 Fall low sample 7
total 366 weeks total 178 weeks total 188 weeks
average 26.1 weeks average 25.4 weeks average 26.9 weeks
st dev 5.4 weeks st dev 5.8 weeks st dev 4.9 weeks
next approximate Dow trough
Mar 2, 06 20 weeks minimum length in samples
Apr 13, 06 26 weeks average length in Spring low samples
Jun 8, 06 34 weeks average length in Spring low samples for 03-06 Bull Mkt
source of dates
timeanddate.com
|
