SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Technology Stocks : Qualcomm Incorporated (QCOM) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: carranza2 who wrote (143205)7/3/2006 12:02:42 PM
From: blimfark  Respond to of 152472
 
OK C2....I'm OK..just my slow to boil Polish blood reaching criticl temperature. Thanks for talking me down. The pace of the attacks is getting frenetic...perhaps that's a good sign.



To: carranza2 who wrote (143205)7/3/2006 2:37:24 PM
From: GPS Info  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 152472
 
What you suggest is exactly what Q shouldn't do. If it does, I'm unloading a big chunk of my position.

Carranza2,

I would like to chime in and agree with your very fundamental idea: If Qualcomm capitulates on royalties or indicates that a coordinated attack might make them capitulate on royalties, they are cutting their own throats. Even if they only draw blood, there are enough sharks (naked shorts) in the water to bury them for good.

The moment I see this occur, I unload my QCOM shares.

When the POS asked to have Qualcomm investigated, I waited anxiously to see how Qualcomm would respond. If they suggested lower royalties, I would move my shares out of QCOM. If they fired back aggressively (and they did against NOK), I would hold on and see how things shook out. IMHO, if Qualcomm cannot call a bluff, they can’t be in this game. I sincerely hope that Qualcomm is game for high-stakes poker (~30 billion), but I can’t assume that they are.



To: carranza2 who wrote (143205)7/3/2006 4:36:49 PM
From: Jim Mullens  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 152472
 
C2- Re: Coordinated attacks and Qualcomm’s

I agree with your rejection wrt “Q needs to make a bold public move here and acknowledge that it is under attack ....”.

Over the years, it has been proven that Qualcomm and the CDG are no match against NOK/ ERICY and the GSMA in a public PR shoot-out. For some reason (advertising $$??), those folks have little difficulty getting their message out early and often (see following list just over the past few days).

However, on occasion it’s good to see the Q issue a statement to counter the most blatant attacks (Korea royalty ceasing / NOK – CDMA in decline, etc).

So, what’s the Q to do?-

1. During the upcoming earnings report-
1.1. exhibit confidence in the future via announcement of stock repurchases (as you stated)
1.2 exhibit further confidence by increasing the authorization from its current $2.5B amount.
1.3 Increase FY06 EPS guidance

2. Bill K during his recent Blair presentation made mention of the “pressures” to a certain degree, in fact the stock being under pressure. Further, in prior presentations the Q discussed to a limited extent their response to the EC complaint case.

3. In the past few days the “coordinated attacks” quickened to include –
3.1 CDMA “flips” in India, S. Amer, Australia/ New Zealand.
3.2 India royalty issue / non-competitive CDMA handset pricing
3.3 Korean anti-competition filing by TXN and BRCM.

4. Since a campaign of PR volleys and public presentations highlighting these issues appears to only stoke the fire, perhaps a new FAQ section on the Q’s website with brief but factual responses to these new “attack” issues as they arise would be a more appropriate and effective way to respond. (For one, I'd like to see factual documentation of GSM IPR rates- BK noted some of Q's customers reported such)

C2 (if still at home / surfing the net) as and attorney, I’d be interested in your thoughts as to how much info the Q can / should publicly disclose in a FAQ type forum to support its investors during the next nine months of “rocky road- Rich B” without harming its various upcoming legal cases?

Again, it helps somewhat that the Q / we’ve been through this before on several occasions, with the abundance of facts on our side , and a history of positive outcomes.

Recent “attack” headlines


Today, Mon, Jul 3, 2006
• GSM telecom vendors say their system outpacing CDMA
at Reuters (Mon 12:16pm)
• Broadcom and TI take action on Qualcomm
at FT.com (Mon 12:10pm)
• Broadcom files antitrust complaint in South Korea
bizjournals.com (Mon 11:36am)

• U.S. Companies File Qualcomm Complaint
AP (Mon 4:15am)
Sun, Jul 2, 2006
• U.S. Companies File Qualcomm Complaint
AP (Sun 10:38pm)
• TI, Broadcom complain to S.Korea FTC about Qualcomm
Reuters (Sun 10:29pm)
• UPDATE - TI, Broadcom complain to S.Korea FTC about Qualcomm
at Reuters (Sun 10:22pm)
Fri, Jun 30, 2006



Wed, Jun 28, 2006
• Qualcomm Resists Demands for Royalty Cut
AP (Wed, Jun 28)

• Telecom Stocks: Telecom stocks gain momentum, inch higher
at MarketWatch (Wed, Jun 28)

• UPDATE - Qualcomm says India royalty 5 pct, eyes cheaper sets
at Reuters (Wed, Jun 28)