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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: ild who wrote (65298)7/5/2006 4:09:28 PM
From: loantech  Respond to of 110194
 
All those guys need to condense by 90%. They must get paid by the word. <ng>



To: ild who wrote (65298)7/5/2006 6:08:23 PM
From: Wyätt Gwyön  Respond to of 110194
 
his frequent use of Capital Letters to describe Things he considers important is Bizarre and does little to make up for his lack of Style. i guess he spent too much Time in grad school reading Books written by Foreigners long ago.



To: ild who wrote (65298)7/6/2006 2:49:07 PM
From: ild  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
Date: Thu Jul 06 2006 13:53
trotsky (@ANTP) ID#248269:
Copyright © 2002 trotsky/Kitco Inc. All rights reserved
i recently mentioned this tech stock ( fundamentals unknown... ) as having a decent short term trade set-up. with today's rally ( 6-7% daily moves aren't really all that exceptional with this stock i might add ) it looks like a double-hook buy signal is in place, provided today's candle keeps looking the way it does right now.

Date: Thu Jul 06 2006 12:15
trotsky (AU_NB@sentiment) ID#248269:
Copyright © 2002 trotsky/Kitco Inc. All rights reserved
the quantitative indicators i'm watching all continue to show skepticism is rife. i have discussed the gold market timer signal with Hulbert in an e-mail exchange a while back. he had to admit that they actually called several spectacular turns correctly ( inter alia the March '03 low, and the Dec. '03 high - at the low, Hulbert published an article bemoaning that they were too bullish, and at the high he published an article asserting that they were so bearish that the rise would most likely continue ) .
my guess is that the very small subset of gold timers that has survived the 1980-2000 bear market is a hardy lot that uses tried and true indicators for determining its stance. the most important indicator that they use is imo the XAU/gold ratio and gold/gold stock divergences that regularly show up at major lows and highs. per experience, it is dangerous when they are unanimous in the direction of the trend after the trend has already been running for a while, but when they begin to get cautious after a large advance or bullish after a large decline, it is most often NOT a good idea to bet against them.

Date: Thu Jul 06 2006 09:57
trotsky (XAU option traders) ID#248269:
must be extremely p.o.'d by now.