To: Wyätt Gwyön who wrote (65374 ) 7/6/2006 5:09:33 PM From: GraceZ Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194 eventually, this trend will probably result in billions of human deaths, the end of civilization as we know it, and the extinction of the majority of species on the planet. Malthus believed this to be true. His predictions turned out to be dead wrong. He applied exponential growth to population, arithmetical growth to food production and came up with massive starvation this last century. People do starve, but far fewer people will starve to death in 2006 than most years in recorded history. Every year 3 million people are pulled out of abject poverty by improvements in food production. It was difficult for him to predict the vast improvements that would occur in food production. It was impossible for him to see that in 2006 the Earth would have more acres under cultivation than ever in history, as well as produce a far higher yield per acre. Resources are created by humans. Oh they exist in some raw form on Earth before we get there but most of what we refer to when we refer to natural resources are for the most part unusable until transformed by man and technology into some form of energy or raw material. But even then, resources simply take another form, they can't really be "used up". They may take forms that make them harder for us to retrieve, but they can be retrieved. If you were to look at reserves and estimates of almost any important resource over the last 100 years you would find that known reserves are increasing not decreasing. This is not because we're getting better at counting them. Just take something like the known reserves of copper for instance. The USGS keeps pretty good records going back to the 1900s. Consider just how much copper is used in buildings and then ask yourself why do we have more now than we've ever had? You can't even tell me how much exists on the Earth in a form that can be used because you have no idea how hard or easy it will be to mine the dissolved copper that exists in seawater using future technologies. This is all before we get to the infinite number of possible future substitutes for copper because in reality we don't need copper, we simply need the service it provides. The same with oil, we don't need oil, we need the service it provides. Billions of people will die, because we all die. Billions will live and billions will die....increasingly of old age, wars and natural catastrophes like earthquakes, manmade disasters of a political nature. Like when Mao centralized farming in China and 10 million Chinese starved to death.