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To: Ed Ajootian who wrote (67303)7/13/2006 9:10:48 AM
From: elmatador  Respond to of 206097
 
what may happen: Iran will suffer more tightening of the embargo.

Russia will profit form higher oil prices

China accommodates Iran since it needs oil.

Embargo will be circumvented. Just how much of what Dubai imports ends up in Iran?

European firms with operations in Iran will suffer, how much Europeans will commit to embargoing Iran?



To: Ed Ajootian who wrote (67303)7/14/2006 1:15:40 PM
From: elmatador  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 206097
 
Heating up: "There is the possibility that Israel could choose to escalate the conflict to include Syria," says analyst Mouin Rabbani. " And there is also the possibility that if Israel continues pounding Lebanon and vastly escalates its campaign there that Syria would try intervene to come to the assistance of Lebanon, which could also produce an Israeli-Syrian confrontation.”

Ayalon said that Iran, despite its distance from Israel, has two goals. The first is to work for the “Islamic radicalization” of the region in hopes of creating more theocratic states like its own.

Tehran's other goal, according to Ayalon, is to distract the international community from Iran’s nuclear program, which he said aims at acquiring nuclear weapons.