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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: combjelly who wrote (295309)	7/17/2006 1:54:09 PM
From: TimF	Respond to of 1572417

I do challenge the idea that they would unstoppably sweep the south. I agree with you on that challenge. How far they could go is uncertain, but the odds of them actually being able to totally win are very low, probably negligible. You hear most about their numbers of weapons and men under arms (both high), then you might hear about their obsolete weapons, and less advanced training. You don't hear as much from pundits or SI posters about their inflexible command structure but that's certainly a factor. Another factor to consider is their logistical and repair capability. The lead forces probably carry enough with them for the earlier stages of an invasion, but resupply could be hard once we gain control in the air and I'm not so sure that their weapons are very well maintained (or if they are, whether they would continue to be under the stress of combat). North Korea's forces are set up to provide a lot of power for a very short time. One really solid punch, that they hope to use to destroy the enemy. (Probably not a very reasonable hope). South Korea has a smaller army and air force, but the quality of weapons and training is higher, and South Korea has larger reserves, and of course American backing. Of course in the 50s China massively intervened. I think that less likely now for a couple of reasons. 1 - The war would happen faster, with less time for China to decide to, and prepare for an intervention. Also we would be more likely to detect the preparations. 2 - China is less likely to see a war with the US as being in its interests. China has more to lose now. 3 - The US would try to provide some form of reassurance to China, exactly what would be said or done is hard to guess other than a statement about no plans for attacking China, but you wouldn't have someone like McCarthur in command talking about attacking China.