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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Nadine Carroll who wrote (191952)	7/18/2006 4:56:17 AM
From: Bilow	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 281500

Hi Nadine Carroll; Re: "Callups are continuing, Carl: 3 reserve battalions called up." The last invasion of Lebanon required 76,000 troops. And it, uh, well, didn't work. I would imagine that this one would be a bit tougher, given all the training you guys have been giving the other side. It appears that they've been gearing up for you. Now the usual technique is to put the reserves to work at what is being done now by regular army, and to put the regular army at the point of the spear. But things are kinda active in Gaza this time, and I would think that that would mean that Israel really can't get away with putting a bunch of troops into Lebanon without bringing up a corresponding number of reserves. Hey, I could be wrong, but I doubt it on this one. Do you know how many men are in a brigade? How does three of them compare to, say, 100,000? I'll let you figure it out for yourself. -- Carl

To: Nadine Carroll who wrote (191952)	7/18/2006 10:54:08 AM
From: carranza2	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 281500

What's your view, Nadine? Land operations or not? Operations against Syria or not? If you would have asked me last weekend, I would have said "absolutely" as to land operations and "maybe" as to Syria. Today, I am not so sure. I am on the fence on both issues, leaning slightly towards "no" as to Syria, though it desperately needs to get done. I suspect that there is a lot of pressure being exerted on Israel, though the US is on the surface still green-lighting what is happening, but that is merely aerial. It will take troops to clean out Southern Lebanon and go after the rocket caches. And Iran, which is after all what this is 99% about, needs to have both of its cat's paws damaged substantially so that they know there is a very big price to pay in assuming the role of puppets.