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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Bilow who wrote (191982)	7/18/2006 1:05:06 PM
From: neolib	Respond to of 281500

... Like so many civilians, Olmert may think that Israel can achieve its aims by air power alone. There is no doubt that Lebanon is far better prepared now than it was in 1982. Technological advantages for Israel keep slipping, and now the Iraqis have been learning lots of techniques for dealing with armor. In fact, the Israeli edge from the air is much better now than in 1982, while the ground situation has most likely slipped as you note, due to Iraq. Israel could take out the entire Arab world's conventional forces, while I don't think they can pacify a single country. I don't see any positive outcome to invading southern Lebanon again. I doubt they will stay 20 years this time, but even 20 will do no good. Israel would be far better off retreating to the 1967 boarders and turning the formerly occupied territory into no mans land, with the carrot that Pals could reoccupy it once terror stops completely. Instead, Israel continues to project the image of territorial aggression. Not wise IMO.

To: Bilow who wrote (191982)	7/18/2006 1:13:05 PM
From: Hawkmoon	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 281500

I think that calling up a single infantry division is indicative of a leadership that does not want to go into Lebanon. It's only one division that WE HAVE HEARD ABOUT.. It should not be construed that other divisions have not been called up. But suffice it say, Israel obviously doesn't want to go into Lebanon. Been there, done that, when they had to destroy the PLO. But Hizbullah is different in that they represent the Shi'a population which is one of the largest minorities in Lebanon (Although I looked extensively, I couldn't find an actual demographic stat for the number of shia in Lebanon). But neither do they want Hizbullah to remain in the same status that they were prior to the taking of the hostages. Hawk