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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Gersh Avery who wrote (73495)	7/19/2006 6:35:08 PM
From: Real Man	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 94695

No. Since the Fed started to manipulate the markets in 2002, they mark market bottoms -g- Here is some SP500 statistics for you: -10 2 hours into trading... 1999 38 15.08% 2000 53 21.03% 2001 51 20.24% 2002 51 20.24% 2003 30 11.90% 2004 7 2.78% 2005 0 0.00% 2006 1 1.59% 231 Total -10 30 minutes into trading... 1999 14 5.56% 2000 25 9.92% 2001 28 11.11% 2002 26 10.32% 2003 11 4.37% 2004 2 0.79% 2005 0 0.00% 2006 0 0.00% 106 Total -10 during any 1 hour period 1999 44 2000 75 2001 62 2002 39 2003 17 2004 4 2005 0 2006 0 205 Total -10 during last 30 minutes of trading.... 1999 3 1.19% 2000 11 4.37% 2001 4 1.59% 2002 4 1.59% 2003 0 0.00% 2004 0 0.00% 2005 0 0.00% 2006 0 0.00% 22 Total -10 during last hour of trading.... 1999 14 5.56% 2000 23 9.13% 2001 10 3.97% 2002 11 4.37% 2003 1 0.40% 2004 2 0.79% 2005 0 0.00% 2006 0 0.00% 61 Total -15 3 hours into trading... 1999 16 6.35% 2000 32 12.70% 2001 29 11.51% 2002 23 9.13% 2003 10 3.97% 2004 0 0.00% 2005 0 0.00% 2006 0 0.00% 110 Total -15 entering last hour of trading 1999 30 11.90% 2000 38 15.08% 2001 38 15.08% 2002 32 12.70% 2003 14 5.56% 2004 1 0.40% 2005 1 0.40% 2006 1 1.59% 155 Total -5 during last 30 minutes of trading.... 1999 32 12.70% 2000 53 21.03% 2001 15 5.95% 2002 23 9.13% 2003 7 2.78% 2004 3 1.19% 2005 1 0.40% 2006 1 1.59% 135 Total 2% up days... 3, 2% up days in the last month (give or take). 827 working days since the last 2% down day, yet we have 3 days that are up 2% in the last 23 trading days. It has been 827 net working days since the last 2% down day - with an average of one every 63 days since 1942. Is that natural? What are the odds? 1 in 95,246,886.37 to be exact. You are better off playing the lottery than being a bear -ggg-