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Technology Stocks : Semi Equipment Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: auriculatus who wrote (31690)7/21/2006 11:24:54 AM
From: sixty2nds  Respond to of 95738
 
08:03 WFR MEMC Elec: FBR remains comfortable with their below consensus CY06 revenue/operating EPS estimates (31.49 )

Friedman Billings says that given SPWR's higher-than- industry-average module ASPs, due to more efficient cells, and its ASP commentary, they believe their WFR solar model is valid, and, in fact, may be aggressive if one assumes that module prices will decline in 2007. Firm says this implies that their 2007 revenue estimate of $1,761 mln (for WFR) is the best-case scenario. Their checks also suggest "pockets" of raw semi wafer inventories, which, combined with lower than expected 3Q06 foundry wafer starts, imply the raw semi wafer supply/demand environment is not as tight as the bulls argue -- thus, they think the raw wafer ASP increase could be limited. Firm says they remain comfortable with their below consensus CY06 revenue/operating EPS estimates of $1,432M/$1.54, compared to the consensus of $1,490M/$1.73, and find it "unrealistic" to expect a significant upside to 2007 estimates.