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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: TigerPaw who wrote (296417)7/23/2006 1:22:35 PM
From: zonkie  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 1582684
 
Lieberman is losing support daily. The latest Rasmussen poll has him and Lamont tied at 40% each in a three general election race. If things get much worse Lieberman might not even bother running as an independent.

_____________________

Sun Jul 23, 2006 at 09:41:21 AM PDT

Rasmussen. 7/20. Likely voters. MoE 3% (6/12 results)

Democratic primary

Lieberman (D) 40 (46)
Lamont (D) 51 (40)

General Election

Lieberman (I) 40 (44)
Lamont (D) 40 (29)
Schlesinger (R) 13 (15)


The challenge for Lamont isn't just to win the primary, which looks increasingly likely, but to crush Lieberman. A small victory, while better than a loss, would fuel Lieberman's claims that the primary was decided by a bunch of people not representative of the state's electorate. A good turnout and a crushing defeat (as in Tester's win in Montana) would send a different signal -- that Lieberman has utterly lost the state's rank and file Democrats.

Given the incredible press a solid Lamont victory would generate, what little support Lieberman had would evaporate. No one wants to back a huge loser. Well, except, perhaps, Connecticut Republicans. But there aren't enough of those and they'd be just as likely to back their candidate in the hopes of stealing a seat in this safe, blue state.

With such a vote of no-confidence hanging over Lieberman's head, party elders would be more motivated to lean on Lieberman heavily to exit the race.

dailykos.com

dailykos.com



To: TigerPaw who wrote (296417)7/25/2006 1:54:24 AM
From: RMF  Respond to of 1582684
 
Tigerpaw..maybe you're right, but the polls I've seen would indicate otherwise.

The Republicans of Connecticut seem to think Lieberman is conservative...but not wacko conservative, so he seems to be pretty popular with them.