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Strategies & Market Trends : Bob Brinker: Market Savant & Radio Host -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: EQ who wrote (22471)	7/24/2006 10:52:50 AM
From: Kirk ©	Respond to of 42834

I did a search for "long-term stock market timing hulbert" and found this interesting article that quotes Mark Hulbert businessweek.com We asked The Hulbert Financial Digest (703 683-5905), which tracks investment newsletters, to measure market-timing advice tailored to mutual-fund investors. In all, publisher Mark Hulbert identified 25 newsletters with 32 portfolios, since some newsletters have more than one timing model. Hulbert's conclusion: None of the newsletter timers beat the market. For the 10 years that ended Dec. 31, the timers' annual average total returns ranged from 16.9% to 5.84%. The average return was 11.06%. During the same period, the Standard & Poor's 500-stock index earned 18.06% annually, and the Wilshire 5000 Value-Weighted Total Return Index, a broader measure of market performance, 17.57%. Being a top rated timer can be much like winning a contest for the best smelling old shoes. Mark Hulbert doesn't follow Don Wolanchuk (a friend of mine) but the same article says of Don "Another reason for the timers' poor results is that they err on the side of bears. One who hasn't is Don Wolanchuk, who was named top timer for 1997 by Timer Digest. Wolanchuk says that except for a few brief periods, he has been bullish for 10 years. According to Timer Digest, Wolanchuk's timing returns work out to 20.2% a year for the eight years ending in 1997, vs. 13.5% for the S&P 500. Wolanchuk delivers advice on an $8,000-a-year hotline or a $2.75-per-minute 900 number. " Don has a forum here at SI Message 22645091

To: EQ who wrote (22471)	7/24/2006 12:01:52 PM
From: peanut_butter	Respond to of 42834

Elan Quatro May be too late, but you might want to be a bit cautious about that beehive site or anything at 101. Some people say that any time you go to 101 it loads your system with cookies and spyware. Also be cautious regarding accuracy of transcription of anything posted there. Just a suggestion. Run your spyware cleaner.

To: EQ who wrote (22471)	7/24/2006 7:30:56 PM
From: dijaexyahoo	Respond to of 42834

"Marketimer currently is ranked number one for long-term stock market timing by the two major rating services, Hulbert Financial Digest and Timer Digest." Elan Quatro responded: <<Hmmm. That was it? There was no explanation of the time duration of "long-term stock market timing"?>> --No. It seems obvious to me what it means. It just means market timing that is not short-term--a timer who doesn't go in and out of the market constantly trying to avoid every little blip. It also seems equally obvious to me that, assuming Hulbert has such a category, Bob would be no. 1. Who else would have done better since 1991? Nobody else that I've ever heard of was bullish through almost the entire bull, took some off the table just before the big bear, and then went back in 100% very near the bottom. How could anyone have beaten that record? The only reason anyone is disputing brinker's claim is because they have agendas to try to make him look as bad as possible, and have NO INTEREST WHATSOEVER in objective TRUTH. The biggest joke in the Universe is honey and kirk claiming to tell the truth on their propaganda boards!