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Strategies & Market Trends : Bob Brinker: Market Savant & Radio Host -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: stockalot who wrote (22473)	7/24/2006 2:29:22 PM
From: shres	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 42834

Willy don't you guys even read this stuff? Of course, Brinker's performance numbers are NOT based on his model portfolios because they are pretty mundane. So you see what we do is apply Brinker's marketiming calls to the Wilshire 5000 index and then compare those results to just plain old holding the Wilshire 5000 continuously. This way we can measure the effectiveness of Bob's marketiming ability only without regard to the efficacy of individual funds. As you well know Brinker effectively sidestepped the bear market and returned very near the bottom. Of course, this is reflected in his performance numbers as you can see. Bob's marketiming beat the buy-and-holders such as yourself, hands down. Hulbert Financial Digest ranks Bob Brinker's Marketimer number one for long-term stock market timing through January 31, 2006. The Marketimer stock market timing model applied to the Wilshire 5000 Index has generated a compound annual rate of return of 14.2% for the past ten years, versus 9.1% for the Wilshire 5000 Total Market Index.

To: stockalot who wrote (22473)	7/24/2006 7:47:26 PM
From: dijaexyahoo	Respond to of 42834

stockalot said: <<I am beginning to suspect that there is no category in Hulbert's ratings that says "Long term marketiming" .>> --Why? Either you don't WANT to believe it, or you don't understand what brinker and hulbert mean by "long-term stock market timing." They simply mean someone who attempts to time the market, but is not a short-term timer who constantly moves in and out, trying to avoid every dip (Mr. Pretend would probably be a good example of a short-term timer) and capitalize on every brief surge. How do I know this is what they mean? Common sense. <<...it would appear that Brinker is taking something out of context, like that of his performance "IF" measured by going in and out of the indexes and NOT using his model portfolios. That smells as well and is not a part of Hulbert's ratings--simply some ramblings Hulbert made in an article that shows that Brinker's fund selection is poor.>> --Don't you have the July Marketimer at hand? It shows that Portfolio One and Two both beat the Active/Passive Portfolio over 5 years and 3 years. The Active/Passive portfolio did not exist in Brinker's Marketimer until 1997, so there are no 10-year comparisons. If Brinker really was rated #1 over 5, 10 and 15 years (which I will accept until I find out it's not true) then Hulbert must have used something other than the Active/Passive portfolio.