To: pompsander who wrote (746080 ) 7/25/2006 7:51:16 PM From: DuckTapeSunroof Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 769670 Treasury: Spending cuts add octane to tax cuts By William L. Watts, MarketWatch Last Update: 2:41 PM ET Jul 25, 2006marketwatch.com WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) -- Extending President Bush's first-term tax cuts would increase economic growth over the long run, but the lower rates must be offset by reduced spending to have the most impact, according to a Treasury Department study released Tuesday . The release of the study offers some key details of the report which was first previewed in the White House Office of Management and Budget's mid-session budget review earlier this month. As reported at the time, the dynamic-analysis study concluded that making Bush's first-term tax cuts permanent could increase the level of annual output by about 0.7%. Crucially, however, that increase would happen only if the tax cuts are financed by lower spending , the report said. If tax rates rise in the future to offset the revenue loss, the tax relief "would increase national output in the short run, but long-run output would decline as future tax rates increase," the study concluded. Critics of the administration's policies have estimated that a 0.7% increase in annual output would negate claims by President Bush that the tax cuts have boosted economic growth to a degree that offsets revenue losses. "Some in Washington say we had to choose between cutting taxes and cutting the deficit .... Today's numbers show that that was a false choice," Bush said on July 11, announcing that the White House now expects the federal deficit for the current fiscal year to total $296 billion, down from the administration's earlier projection of $423 billion. See full story. The administration and tax-cut advocates contend that an unexpected surge in revenues has stemmed in large part from Bush's 2003 tax cuts, including a reduction in the tax rate on capital gains and dividends. Looking at the year 2016, the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, a persistent critic of the administration's fiscal policies, estimated earlier this month that the additional revenues that would result from a 0.7% increase in annual output in 2016 would come in around $29 billion -- "less than 10% of the $314 billion that the Joint Committee on Taxation estimates extending the tax cuts will reduce revenues in 2016. " End of Story William L. Watts is a reporter for MarketWatch.