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Strategies & Market Trends : Picks of the quarter -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Elroy who wrote (1094)7/28/2006 10:43:37 AM
From: Mike McFarland  Respond to of 20435
 
Shouldn't be a problem, I think those funds calculate
hourly, daily quotes are a cinch.

The ten year has dropped below 5% again, that cannot
last forever--we ought to be up around 7% in a few
years. RYJUX is an "inverse bond fund"

Here is an article--the bet is old news, it just
hasn't panned out, yet.
marketwatch.com

Investment newsletter author William Donoghue, head of advisory firm W.E. Donoghue & Co., is still a big fan of inverse bond funds despite their losses.
"Interest rates will rise over the next few years as the Fed tries to stop the dollar's decline," he said. "These funds are for patient investors who realize interest rates have nowhere to go but up."


The fly in the ointment is that the administration may
not care if the dollar declines. I may be a tad paranoid,
but tax policy and such always seems to say a big F. You
to savers. It is all set up to favor lenders, with a big
subsidy to consumers to borrow like crazy and keep the
money flowing toward the banks. In fact, the whole real
estate bubble seems to me a way to prop up the economy
with "assets", that are in turn just heaps and heaps of
loans. I suppose borrow and spend works out okay in the
end if rates rise forever while the dollar declines.
You just have to get your free money, then let inflation
pay off your loans. You still end up back at rising rates,
either way I muddle through it.

I'd better run off to a rant thread, heh.



To: Elroy who wrote (1094)7/28/2006 4:08:03 PM
From: Sr K  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 20435
 
What happened to the rule: You only get to invest long in equities

Funds are not equities in my book. This was a contest to test stock picking, not picking the pickers.