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Pastimes : Hurricane and Severe Weather Tracking -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Benny-Rubin who wrote (5990)	7/28/2006 11:46:50 AM
From: Drygulch Dan	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 26021

Hey! No fair! I just got back to the (hurricaneless) left coast. I don't want to turn around and head right back! I think it will be just like all the last dozen or so waves and not develop. Besides it too big. There is no core yet. Not much rotation. Looks too low, more like a drencher for the Venezulan coast. Better check on flights to San Juan. Chris Parker's take on the subject: I'll make another observation about WAVE near 35W...squalls continue to lie W & SW of WAVE, mainly 5N-10N / 35W-41W, with strongest activity focused 8N/38W, about 200 mi W of WAVE axis. If this feature develops into a Tropical LO, which is quite possible over the weekend, it's worth noting that center of circulation in developing Tropical LOs tend to gravitate toward the most-intense squall activity. Things will certainly change, so this is premature...but if development were to occur given the current presentation, it's unlikely to have much tendency to lift N over the next couple days, though a turn WNW-NW should occur before entering E Caribbean. If there is a potential threat to E Caribbean, it would be late Tue1 / Wed2, and it's too early to suggest where threat may be greatest.