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To: MythMan who wrote (325242)8/1/2006 6:25:28 AM
From: Real Man  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 436258
 
Yes. It appears to me, though, the program trades are
options market arbitrage. It works to align options and
the market. Thus, low volativity. The whole thing is
like 1987 portfolio insurance multiplied by 100, and certainly
depends on the Fed providing liquidity at crucial turns.
In other words, when this market finally turns, if ever, a
crash will be very likely. No, I don't think it will be slow motion. On the other hand, I'm sure the Fed is very aware of
it. -g-

The reason is, if the market move down exceeds a certain
number of standard deviations, options market shifts in
reverse gear, as happened in May-June. The Fed was quick -g-