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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Hawkmoon who wrote (194384)8/1/2006 2:43:06 PM
From: HH  Respond to of 281500
 
"The world should just be getting sick of this perpetual fighting that creates so much political risk and economic distraction."

Actually, I think the war model is vietnam-like,
what we seem to be facing is guerrilla style tactics on
a wide region , possibly worldwide scale.

Unfortunately, a guerrila style is a very effective
way to wage war against a superior adversary.

i cant think of any such guerrilla style wars which has lost.



To: Hawkmoon who wrote (194384)8/2/2006 10:47:43 AM
From: TimF  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 281500
 

I personally hope that the current crisis in the region is sufficient to shake the UN out of its malaise and initiate a long-overdue response that separates combatants, and forces the combatants to resolve their differences.


That's pretty hard to do. If they get Israel to agree (a definite prerequisite, Israel can be pressured and perhaps effectively pressured but your not going to have a deployment of enough military force by the EU, or UN or NATO to contain the IDF), what if Hezabollah doesn't? Is a UN, EU, NATO, or some other force going to go to war against Hezbollah? Not an easy undertaking. I don't think anyone would be willing to deploy the large combat forces or take the casualties that would be necessary to contain Hezbollah if it doesn't want to be contained.