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Politics : View from the Center and Left -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: JohnM who wrote (25757)	8/1/2006 9:40:38 PM
From: TimF	Respond to of 542147

I gather you consider the the only thing election analysts like Cook offer is "opinions" Yes. and those "opinions" have precisely the same status on that subject as everyone else's opinions. I don't know why you would say that in light of "I can respect the expert enough to give their arguments a careful hearing if I'm exposed to them". To many people have opinions to give everyone a careful hearing, but if someone is a recognized expert and I'm interested in the subject they might get one when other people would not. I guess it depends on what you mean by status. I'm more likely to listen to them. If that's a superior status than I think they have it. If OTOH I should assume that they are correct, or at least correct if I can't line up another expert who says the opposite than no, I wouldn't give them that special status. I don't know about you but if I have something wrong with my health, I certainly don't consider every doctor's views the same. I try to find the best I can afford. Treating disease may be an art as well as a science, but its a much more solid subject that predicting political races. More generally, even top experts have different opinions about different subjects, and esp. about subjects like political horse races. Do you place Cook far above all other experts in this field? If so why?