SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : Bob Brinker: Market Savant & Radio Host -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: dijaexyahoo who wrote (23017)8/3/2006 8:38:28 PM
From: Kirk ©  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 42834
 
Actually, I used to be clearer. I bash Brinker, as you call it, for advertising he does something that the data says at best he breaks even doing. IF he could show signs of actually being successful, I'd admit to it just as I admit this guy GroundZero has a fantastic record timing the ups and downs with his spiral here investment.suite101.com . I have not invested any money via the spiral, but the results are impressive.

I subscribe to the theory of "never say never" but as Reagan wisely said "trust but verify." When I try to verify Brinker's record, I find so much off the books stuff and hedging that it seems at best he does is break-even with buy and hold index funds. It is not a bad record, but anyone trying to follow him is subject to UTEK, TEFQX and QQQQ "episodes" that will cause them to abandon the strategy at the very worst times thus leading to under performance.

As you say... people should have known to get out when the QQQQ went bad. What if they figured it out when the QQQQs were $20? After all, capitulation is what makes bottoms. They would never have bought back when Brinker went to 100% again in March 2003 and so they would see severe under performance.... I mean... you should not expect them to be "smarter than Brinker" should you?