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Politics : View from the Center and Left -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: TimF who wrote (25904)8/4/2006 5:34:20 PM
From: Dale Baker  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 541933
 
It is a no-win situation for Israel, that's what is so fiendishly clever about Hezbollah's provocation of Israel - Israel is screwed if they don't respond and bogged down and undermined outside Israel if they do.

Hence my assertion earlier that Hezbollah is playing the US and Israel like a fiddle, knowing how they must react and how it will be perceived around the globe. As long as Hezbollah survives the retaliation and lives to fight and expound their agenda another day, they have achieved their goals in this campaign.

As Sultan noted they can survive many years of "setbacks" and carry on. That is a typical trait of the many successful or still-surviving multi-decade insurgencies around the world.



To: TimF who wrote (25904)8/5/2006 8:03:22 PM
From: ChinuSFO  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 541933
 
What will happen now in response to future events (or what those future events will be) isn't something that I think can really be known yet.

If the US treats these folks equally, then they will be looked upon as honest peace broker by all parties. Just have to look at the Egyptian-Israeli peace accord.

Hamas has proven to the world that they are a people's force. Hezbollah is doing the same. Unlike Al-Qaeda, they have participated in elections (by proxy in Lebanon off course) and have won people's support.

I think the US needs to seize this opportunity and talk to both the Hezbollah and Hamas. Coaxing Hamas to recognize Israel before taking the oath of office is not a well chosen strategy. Give Hamas some time and they will come around.

If the US continues to be Israel's proxy, then we have lost the game.