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Strategies & Market Trends : Bob Brinker: Market Savant & Radio Host -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Math Junkie who wrote (23141)	8/6/2006 10:00:51 AM
From: Kirk ©	Respond to of 42834

*"The Marketimer* stock market timing model has turned unfavorable… We recommend raising a 60% cash reserves at this time." Robert Brinker - January 2000 issue of Marketimer "The Marketimer stock market timing model remains cautious as the second quarter gets underway." Robert Brinker - April 2000 issue of Marketimer "The Marketimer stock market timing model remains bearish as it has been since January of this year." Robert Brinker - August 2000 issue of Marketimer "We recommend subscribers with aggressive investment objectives invest 30% to 50% of existing CASH RESERVES in the QQQ shares in order to take advantage of this opportunity". Bob Brinker - 10/16/2000 “Marketimer” Subscriber Bulletin investment.suite101.com "We recommend subscribers with conservative investment objectives invest 20% to 30% of existing CASH RESERVES in the QQQ shares in order to take advantage of this opportunity".** Bob Brinker - 10/16/2000 “Marketimer” Subscriber Bulletin suite101.com "Day by day and almost minute by minute the past was brought up to date. In this way every prediction made by the Party could be shown by documentary evidence to have been correct; nor was any item of news, or any expression of opinion, which conflicted with the needs of the moment, ever allowed to remain on record. All history was a palimpsest, scraped clean and reinscribed exactly as often as was necessary." ~George Orwell, 1984, Book 1, Chapter 3

To: Math Junkie who wrote (23141)	8/6/2006 12:13:57 PM
From: dijaexyahoo	Respond to of 42834

kirk said: "It would be interesting to read old MTs to see when he first started to say his model was 'bearish' rather than 'cautious.' I bet the market was already down quite a bit." math replied: <<It happened in August of 2000. The S&P was a little higher than it was the previous January, while the Dow was a little lower.>> --Well, it looks like kirk was wrong. I must have missed the post where he thanked you for the correction. -:) Like you, I would guess bob's model went bearish in Jan., but he was personally a little cautious because, after all, we were in a bubble. By August, he became more confident because the market had been pretty flat for 8 months. <<The January 2000 issue said the model had turned "unfavorable." That sure sounded bearish to me at the time.>> --Yep. It sounded pretty bearish to me too. It was certainly good enough to convince me to take some more off the table. Also, if you recall, it was around August that the market had actually rallied a little off the bottom, and Bob told listeners who had not cut back on equities that "this is another good opportunity to do so." It was at that time that I made my final sale--a tech fund. Unfortunately, I put that money back into the QQQs a couple months later. -:)