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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Ramsey Su who wrote (67740)8/8/2006 8:40:20 PM
From: mishedlo  Respond to of 110194
 
NO



To: Ramsey Su who wrote (67740)8/31/2006 9:06:59 AM
From: YanivBA  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 110194
 
LCDS Settlement Rattles Credit Managers
Some traditional credit fund managers are holding off entering the loan credit-default swap market because of uncertainty about how they would handle physical delivery of the underlying asset.


Source: derivativesweek.com
Also from same source:

Credit Option Vol Slumps

Option-implied credit volatility is following the lead of high-grade and high-yield credit spreads and drawing in to three month lows. This is despite the credit markets being hit by economic and political pressures including interest rate uncertainty, political turmoil in the Middle East and high oil prices.

Implied volatility for at-the-money September options on the iTraxx Main dropped 2% last week to 32%, a full 11% tighter than a month ago. Similarly, CDS spreads on the iTraxx traded as low at 27 basis points Friday.

One trader said the dip in volatility had not had a huge impact in the volumes of credit options traded. The growth of the market has been hindered this year by low liquidity.


I am quite amazed how this fits with climbing bond spreads.



One explanation that could be is a rise in counter party default risk, where traders question the ability of the insurer to honor the contract in the case where the reference bond defaults.

YanivBA.