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Politics : Just the Facts, Ma'am: A Compendium of Liberal Fiction -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Lazarus_Long who wrote (49913)	8/9/2006 11:16:46 PM
From: Oeconomicus	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 90947

Laz, first, CT has been known to elect independents to top offices. Lowell Weicker was elected Governor there as an independent and I think there have been others as well. Also, though I don't recall the details, I saw something recently that showed a fairly large portion of CT voters registered without party affiliation. So there's good reason to think CT voters will ignore party affiliation to a good degree in November. Then there's the polls - they favor Joe as an independent by a good margin. Meanwhile, the Republican, Schlesinger, trails both Joe and Lamont, so unless he makes some serious headway in the polls real soon, I'd think many GOP voters will think it a safer bet to go for Joe. So, yes, he'll take half the Dems who voted in the primary (incl. crossover primary voters), but also probably a good majority of Dems who didn't vote yesterday, most of the independents who didn't become Dems to vote in the primary, and probably a lot of solid Republicans as well. I say he takes it. Remember, he got 48% - almost half - of the more active Dems - primary voters. There are many more who stayed home and he'll still be listed as the incumbent and has the name recognition.