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Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Travis_Bickle who wrote (59743)8/11/2006 1:41:55 PM
From: Ramsey SuRead Replies (4) | Respond to of 306849
 
WCI reported this week.

The earnings conf call is really worth listening to, if it is still available.

While all the builders are hurting, WCI is uniquely positioned. Because their products consist of so many towers, they are facing do or die circumstances. If the Florida condo market does not reignite in the immediate future, WCI is dead.



To: Travis_Bickle who wrote (59743)8/11/2006 11:48:51 PM
From: Live2SailRespond to of 306849
 
ECRI Weekly Leading Index at -.4% . That's the first negative number I've seen in this cycle.

quotes from ECRI:Economic readings on inflation may be backward looking, but even leading indicators show inflation remains elevated, according to Lakshman Achuthan, managing director of The Economic Cycle Research Institute, an independent group dedicated to economic cycle research.

The ECRI tracks drivers of inflation, such as commodity prices, the dollar and money supply, in a bid to forecast its future direction.

The institute's Future Inflation Gauge, which is closely watched by financial markets and was a favorite of Greenspan's, shows indicators peaked in late 2005, which suggests actual inflation will hit its highest point this fall, Achuthan said.

"But it's premature to say we've whipped inflation," he said, noting there has yet to be a sharp downturn in the leading indicators. "We must remain guarded about being too optimistic. It's premature to say inflation's a non-issue."