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Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: John Vosilla who wrote (59812)8/12/2006 11:21:23 AM
From: Dan3Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 306849
 
Re: 'How can we reconcile the phenomenon of home price inflation with the obvious stagnation to decline in incomes?'

Some of it actually makes a great deal of sense.

If you borrow 300,000 at 4.5% (the low of recent 30 year rates) you pay $1,520 per month for 30 years - $547,200.

If you borrow it at the 9% rates prevelant a few years earlier, you pay $2,414 per month - $869,040.

The reverse, is that when rates were at 9%, your $1,520 "bought" you about $189,000 in a loan, while, when rates were lowest, that same income and payment covered a $300,000 loan.

The initial drivers of the big increase in what buyers were willing to pay for homes was the very real drop in the cost of money.