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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Hawkmoon who wrote (8266)	8/14/2006 6:09:35 AM
From: TobagoJack	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 217688

<<Really now.. N. Korea threatening China? You've got to be kidding, right??>> ... no, I am serious, if and when China threatens N.Korea, which China is not likely to do, unless China is in fact ready to carry out an attack in a few hours or weeks. There is an ancient Chinese saying regarding conflict between two folks, that "the bare foot guy is not going to be afraid of the fancily dressed guy". That saying would have come in handy in some meeting between the generals and rumsfeld in the lead up to Iraq liberation. <<And if this is true, then a nuclear armed N. Korea is even MORE threatening to China.>> ... yes, if China threatens N.Korea, which China is not likely to do. <<China is appeasing N. Korea>> ... no, not true, and putting words to my meaning does not make it true. I am saying China has no dire need to confront N.Korea when USA is perfectly willing to do so. There is another ancient Chinese saying, that "to kill with borrowed knife", and another, that "to loot a burning house", and yet another, that, "best to engage in war by positioning (rather than fighting)". Sun Tze 101 stuff, all in dusty books stored in musty archives. There will not likely be any war on the Korean peninsula, because the USA is standing guard; and if there is, there is, it is far far better to be watching, briefing, and flexibly deciding, as opposed to being rushed head long into a conflict. <<Japan is on the verge of re-militarizing, and possibly building a nuclear deterrent, in response to the provocation by Korea.>> ... China sees Japan will officially re-militerize in any and all cases, and eventually, go nuclear, if not using N.Korea as an excuse and impetus, then China. That is what N.Korea and S.Korea are for, to deal with the Japanese when they get feisty. Nukes are great equalizers, when secured in sufficient quantities (one for each large city of any opponent), rendering conventional forces less adequate. <<I don't think your reading of the Bejing apparachiks is as incisive as you'd like to believe it is.>> ... I am not sure either, but my reading does fit the facts, time tested. Chugs, J