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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: SARMAN who wrote (197541)8/15/2006 4:54:57 PM
From: TimF  Respond to of 281500
 
Surprising to find a post by you I can actually agree with, even if it was only you quoting someone else's words.

I don't agree with it 100% (for example Olmert isn't proposing or supporting or accepting "unconditional surrender"), and also I have my doubts that accepting the cease fire will cause his government to fall within a day, but I agree with the overall thrust of the article.

If you are going to promise to smash the enemy, if your going to mobilize your reserves, have an extensive bombing campaign, start a ground invasion, and than just stop and accept a cease fire that achieve nothing I don't see how it can be said that you haven't made a major mistake. Whether that mistake was starting in the first place or stopping when you did, or just how you planned and executed the war could be debated but obviously things went wrong somewhere.



To: SARMAN who wrote (197541)8/15/2006 5:52:06 PM
From: Sdgla  Respond to of 281500
 
Peace in Our Time - Hudna Death Watch
Posted by Dean Barnett | 7:22 AM
Two developments:

1) The Lebanese “Government” has declared that it will not disarm Hezbollah. Ha’Aretz reports:

A compromise agreement now being hammered out between Hezbollah and the Lebanese government would allow the Shi'ite guerillas to keep hidden weapons in south Lebanon, the London-based Al-Hayat newspaper reported on Tuesday.

While Hezbollah would need to keep the weapons it possesses south of the Litani River hidden, an agreement for areas north of the river would be "left to a long term solution," the paper reported.

If the proposed compromise is accepted Tuesday by the Lebanese government, it would violate the terms of United Nations Security Council Resolution 1701 ending the war in Lebanon. The resolution rules that the Lebanese army and UNIFIL may be the only armed forces in the territory between the Litani River south to the Israeli border.

2) On the Israeli side of things, there’s a bipartisan call for Defense Minister Dan Halutz’s resignation, not for his inept prosecution of the war but because he dumped stock in the days when war loomed. With Halutz on his way out, the question is how long Olmert holds on. Smart money is on the appropriate metric being days, not months.

Maybe by the time my flight lands, the hudna will be over.

haaretz.com