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To: Mr. Aloha who wrote (18362)8/16/2006 10:46:08 AM
From: loantech  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 78411
 
Jim Rogers says 10-15 more years on the commodity boom.

ZINC at 5 bucks and MMGG at 35 in the future. <G> Just having a bit of fun but who knows stranger things have happened.



To: Mr. Aloha who wrote (18362)8/16/2006 11:13:48 AM
From: E. Charters  Respond to of 78411
 
If it were just the hew hess of hay, and unless they decided to build a whole new seventh fleet, and perhaps a new eighth, ninth and tenth, replace every bridge in America with a brand new one and take the old steel and use it for reinforcement in underground bunkers, and then decide to build 15 new 1 million pop cities the the SW desert to accomodate new friends who are migrating north to take advantage of the never ending gravy train of democracy.. then I would agree that bust is "just around the corner of boom".. and if you think the preceding is way too much straw for the scarecrow.. I submit that it is a factual actual drop in the bucketsia to what China, India and soon other states are actually are doing/will do on the SE side of the large continent due west of us.

China is building 200 cities! this is NOT an exaggeration. They have to. They have about 1.4 the world's population and they are promptly taking them out of mud huts and putting them in glass and steel centres of commerce. Today. This make the so called shaky boom a farce. It ain't shaky. It is just beginning. What is farcical is that we are just beginning to believe it. We are asleep.

I don't believe there is the business opportunity that people say there is in going over there to actually get your hands dirty. All puns intended. Where there is opportunity is taking advantage of markets. I must admit I am greedy. Common sense tells me it is too much growth too fast without solving the attendant pollution and energy problem. But beggars will do what they have to do. Not choose wisely to limit growth. Right now I have to say we are asleep at the switch. Allowing everybody to beat us to the punch. Acting like there is no boom. Looking only in our own backyard. What is amazing is the Indian boom, far more stodgy and slow to react, because of political and factional problems, is not yet factored in. Indians are like Russians when it comes to growth. They would rather not do it at home. The west to them still looks too enticing. Building over a garbage dump is not nearly as attractive as going to Shangri La and sidling up to Hollywood stars. But what about Eastern Europe recovery and rebuild.. Russians and Indians getting their act together and actually growing as they should? What would that combination do? And will they get ther act together and do it?

How long must these nations stay third world? And what about Indonesia, Burma, Vietnam? Why can't they grow too? The Chinese proved you could do it by trying, organizing, having will to do it.. just do it.. it is up to others, supposedly more sophisticated to admit they have been shown, and jump on the wagon..

And there is SA too, far too long below their potential with multilingual factional disorganizational, economic problems.. devoid of markets, and means.. when is that going to change.. Chile and Peru proved you could get out of the funk... but Peru has its Jury out.. Boliva is backsliding.. Venezuela and Columbia cannot turn their horse around.. Suriname and Guyana do not attract enough attention yet.. backwaters still. Brazil is attempting to grow without direction or sense sometimes, and is very risky economically to foreign investment.. its governments still being banana republic to dollars.. its regs still a maze.. Argentina is socially disruptive.. crooked as a dogs hind leg.. a wealth of opportunity squandered in the mud of poor political machinery.

All in all, there is great growth. Well managed growth in Asia. huge growth. Opportunity abounds. If Eastern Europe ever catches up, it will fuel a new paradigm for production worldwide. Consumption and production will take a quantum leap. Maybe then Canadians will wake up. The season and the reason will become apparent to them.

EC<:-}



To: Mr. Aloha who wrote (18362)8/17/2006 12:45:37 AM
From: aknahow  Respond to of 78411
 
Thanks, Mr. Aloha, for an interesting post. Had not seen the article and found it more than worthwhile.