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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: AK2004 who wrote (300797)8/20/2006 7:10:32 PM
From: tejek  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1580249
 
How Washington Goaded Israel to Invade Lebanon
_____________________________________________________________

by Stephen Zunes*
Saturday, August 19, 2006

There is increasing evidence that Israel instigated a disastrous war on Lebanon largely at the behest of the United States. The Bush administration was set on crippling Hezbollah, the radical Shiite political movement that maintains a sizable block of seats in the Lebanese parliament. Taking advantage of the country’s democratic opening after the forced departure of Syrian troops last year, Hezbollah defied U.S. efforts to democratize the region on American terms. The populist party’s unwillingness to disarm its militia as required by UN resolution -- and the inability of the pro-Western Lebanese government to force them to do so -- led the Bush administration to push Israel to take military action.

In his May 23 summit with Prime Minister Ehud Olmert, President George W. Bush offered full U.S. support for Israel to attack Lebanon as soon as possible. Seymour Hersh, in the August 21 New Yorker, quotes a Pentagon consultant on the Bush administration’s longstanding desire to strike “a preëmptive blow against Hezbollah.” The consultant added, “It was our intent to have Hezbollah diminished, and now we have someone else doing it.”

Israel was a willing partner. Although numerous Israeli press reports indicate that some Israeli officials, including top military officials, are furious at Bush for pushing Olmert into war, the Israeli government had been planning the attack since 2004. According to a July 21 article in the San Francisco Chronicle, Israel had briefed U.S. officials with details of the plans, including PowerPoint presentations, in what the newspaper described as “revealing detail.” Political science professor Gerald Steinberg of Bar-Ilan University told the Chronicle that “[o]f all of Israel’s wars since 1948, this was the one for which Israel was most prepared. In a sense, the preparation began in May 2000, immediately after the Israeli withdrawal…”

Despite these preparations, the Bush administration and congressional leaders of both parties tried to present the devastating attacks, which took as many as 800 civilian lives, as a spontaneous reaction to Hezbollah’s provocative July 12 attack on an Israeli border post and its seizure of two soldiers.

Some reports have indicated that Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld was less sanguine than Vice President Dick Cheney, Secretary of State Condoleeza Rice, or President Bush about the proposed Israeli military offensive.
Rumsfeld apparently believed that Israel should focus less on bombing and more on ground operations, despite the dramatically higher Israeli casualties that would result. Still, Hersh quotes a former senior intelligence official as saying that Rumsfeld was “delighted that Israel is our stalking horse.”

The recent ceasefire agreement may represent only a minor speed bump in U.S. plans. After all, the attack on Hezbollah was only the first stage of what the Bush administration apparently hopes will be a joint remaking of the Middle East map.

On to Iran and Syria?

On July 30, the Jerusalem Post reported that President Bush pushed Israel to expand the war beyond Lebanon and attack Syria. Israeli officials apparently found the idea “nuts.”

This idea was not exactly secret. In support of the Israeli offensive, the office of the White House Press Secretary released a list of talking points that included reference to a Los Angeles Times op-ed by Max Boot, senior fellow for national security studies at the Council on Foreign Relations. The article, “It’s Time to Let the Israelis Take Off the Gloves,” urges an Israeli attack against Syria. “Israel needs to hit the Assad regime. Hard,” argues Boot. “If it does, it will be doing Washington’s dirty work.”


Iran, too, was in the administration’s sights. The Israeli attack on Lebanon, according to Seymour Hersh, was to “serve as a prelude to a potential American preemptive attack to destroy Iran's nuclear installations.” But first, the Bush administration needed to get rid of Hezbollah’s capacity to retaliate against Israel in the event of a U.S. strike on Iran, which apparently prompted Hezbollah's buildup of Iranian-supplied missiles in the first place.

Starting this spring, according to Hersh, the White House ordered top planners from the U.S. air force to consult with their Israeli counterparts on a war plan against Iran that incorporated an Israeli pre-emptive strike against Hezbollah. Lieutenant General Dan Halutz, the chief of staff of the Israeli military and principal architect of the war on Lebanon, worked with U.S. officials on contingency planning for an air war with Iran.

The Bush administration’s larger goal apparently also included an alliance of pro-Western Sunni Arab dictatorships – primarily Egypt, Saudi Arabia and Jordan – against a growing Shiite militancy exemplified by Hezbollah and Iran and, to a lesser extent, post-Saddam Iraq. Though these Sunni regimes initially spoke out against Hezbollah’s provocative capture of the two Israeli soldiers that prompted the Israeli attacks, popular opposition within these countries to the ferocity of the Israeli assault led them to rally solidly against the U.S.-backed war on Lebanon.

In Israel’s Interest?

In the years prior to Israel’s July 12 bombing of Lebanese cities, Hezbollah had become less and less of a threat. It had not killed any Israeli civilians for more than a decade (with the exception of one accidental fatality in 2003 caused by an anti-aircraft missile fired at an Israeli plane that violated Lebanese airspace). Investigations by the Congressional Research Service, the State Department, and independent think tanks failed to identify any major act of terrorism by Hezbollah for over a dozen years.

Prior to the attack, Hezbollah’s militia had dwindled to about 1000 men under arms – this number tripled after July 12 when reserves were called up -- and a national dialogue was going on between Hezbollah and the government of pro-Western prime minister Fuad Sinora regarding disarmament. The majority of Lebanese opposed Hezbollah, both its reactionary fundamentalist social agenda as well as its insistence on maintaining an armed presence independent of the country’s elected government. Thanks to the U.S.-backed Israeli attacks on Lebanon’s civilian infrastructure, however, support for Hezbollah, according to polls, has grown to more than 80%, even within the Sunni Muslim and Christian communities.

Even Richard Armitage, a leading hawk and deputy secretary of state under President Bush during his first term, noted how “[t]he only thing that the bombing has achieved so far is to unite the population against the Israelis.”

Despite U.S. encouragement that Israel continue the war, Israel’s right-wing prime minister has come under increasing criticism at home, with polls from the Haaretz newspaper indicating that only 39% of Israelis would support the planned expansion of the ground offensive.
Meretz Party Knesset member Ran Cohen, writing in the Jerusalem Post, called earlier moves to expand the ground offensive “a wretched decision.” Yariv Oppenheimer, general director of Peace Now, which had earlier muted its criticism of the attacks on Lebanon, noted that “[t]he war has spiraled out of control and the government is ignoring the political options available.”

Not only have a growing number of Israelis acknowledged that the war has been a disaster for Israel, there is growing recognition of U.S. responsibility for getting them into that mess. A July 23 article in Haaretz about an anti-war demonstration in Tel Aviv noted how “this was a distinctly anti-American protest” that included “chants of ‘We will not die and kill in the service of the United States,’ and slogans condemning President George W. Bush.”

Members of Congress who have unconditionally backed President Bush's support for Israel’s attacks on Lebanon have responded to constituent outrage by claiming they were simply defending Israel’s legitimate interests. In supporting the Bush administration, however, they have defended policies that cynically use Israel to advance the administration’s militarist agenda.

Who’s Anti-Semitic?

One of the more unsettling aspects of the broad support in Washington for the use of Israel as U.S. proxy in the Middle East is how closely it corresponds to historic anti-Semitism. In past centuries, the ruling elite of European countries would, in return for granting limited religious and cultural autonomy, established certain individuals in the Jewish community as the visible agents of the oppressive social order, such as tax collectors and moneylenders. When the population threatened to rise up against the ruling elite, the rulers could then blame the Jews, channeling the wrath of an exploited people against convenient scapegoats. The resulting pogroms and waves of repression took place throughout the Jewish Diaspora.

Zionists hoped to break this cycle by creating a Jewish nation-state where Jews would no longer be dependent on the ruling elite of a given country. The tragic irony is that, by using Israel to wage proxy war to promote U.S. hegemony in the region, this cycle is being perpetuated on a global scale. This latest orgy of American-inspired Israeli violence has led to a dangerous upsurge in anti-Semitism in the Middle East and throughout the world. In the United States, many critics of U.S. policy are blaming “the Zionist lobby” for U.S. support for Israel’s attacks on Lebanon rather than the Bush administration and its bipartisan congressional allies who encouraged Israel to wage war on Lebanon in the first place.

Unfortunately, most anti-war protests in major U.S. cities have targeted the Israeli consulate rather than U.S. government buildings. By contrast, during the 1980s, protests against the U.S.-backed violence in El Salvador rarely targeted Salvadoran consulates, but instead more appropriately took place outside federal offices and arms depots, recognizing that the violence would not be taking place without U.S. weapons and support.

Israel is no banana republic. Even those like Hersh who recognize the key role of the Bush administration in goading Israel to attack Lebanon emphasize that rightist elements within Israel had their own reasons, independent of Washington, to pursue the conflict.


Still, given Israel’s enormous military, economic, and political dependence on the United States, this latest war on Lebanon could not have taken place without a green light from Washington. President Jimmy Carter, for example, was able to put a halt to Israel’s 1978 invasion of Lebanon within days and force the Israeli army to withdraw from the south bank of the Litani River to a narrow strip just north of the Israeli border. By contrast, the Bush administration and an overwhelming bipartisan majority of Congress clearly believed it was in the U.S. interest for Israel to pursue Washington’s “dirty work” for an indefinite period, regardless of its negative implications for Israel’s legitimate security interests.

Domestic Political Implications

Given the lack of success of the Israeli military campaign, U.S. planners are likely having second thoughts about the ease with which a U.S.-led bombing campaign could achieve victory over Iran. However, the propensity of the Bush administration to ignore historical lessons should not be underestimated. A former senior intelligence official told Hersh that “[t]here is no way that Rumsfeld and Cheney will draw the right conclusion about this. When the smoke clears, they'll say it was a success, and they'll draw reinforcement for their plan to attack Iran.” Indeed, on August 14, President Bush declared that Israel had achieved “victory” in its fight against Hezbollah.

The outspoken support of congressional Democrats for Bush’s policies and Israel’s war on Lebanon portends similar support should the United States ignore history and common sense and attack Iran anyway. Both the Senate and House, in backing administration policy, claimed that, contrary to the broad consensus of international opinion, Israel’s military actions were consistent with international law and the UN Charter. By this logic, if Israel’s wanton destruction of a small democratic country’s civilian infrastructure because of a minor border incident instigated by members of a 3000-man militia of a minority party is a legitimate act of self-defense, surely a similar U.S. attack against Iran – a much larger country with a sizable armed force whose hard-line government might be developing nuclear weapons – could also be seen as a legitimate act of self-defense.

Ironically, political action committees sponsored by such liberal groups such as MoveOn.org, Peace Action, and Act for Change continue to support the election or re-election of Congressional candidates who have voiced support for Washington’s proxy war against Lebanon despite massive Israeli violations of international humanitarian law, its serving as a trial run for a U.S. war against Iran and its being against Israel’s legitimate self-interests.

And, unfortunately, on the other extreme, some of the more outspoken elements that have opposed America’s proxy war against Lebanon frankly do not have Israel’s best interest in mind.

As a result, without a dramatic increase in protests by those who see Washington’s cynical use of Israel as bad for virtually everyone, there is little chance this dangerous and immoral policy can be reversed.

*Stephen Zunes is an associate professor of Politics and chair of the Peace & Justice Studies Program at the University of San Francisco. He is Middle East editor for the Foreign Policy in Focus Project and is the author of 'Tinderbox: U.S. Middle East Policy and the Roots of Terrorism' www.commoncouragepress.com

economist.com



To: AK2004 who wrote (300797)8/20/2006 7:33:59 PM
From: tejek  Respond to of 1580249
 
Flawed tactics give impetus to Israel's enemies

The war option is fuelling the Islamists, argues editor-at-large Paul Kelly
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

August 09, 2006
THE Israeli-Hezbollah conflict is a new war in the Middle East, conducted by ancient rules of religion, ideology and tribalism. It is not a struggle for territory or a conventional conflict about Israel's borders, as were the wars of 1967 and 1973. Those battles belong to a lost era.
This war has Israel fighting a new enemy defined by deep historical forces: Islamist fundamentalism, global jihad and religious ideology. It is a conflict not dissimilar to that facing the US since 9/11, with an enemy that has defied American strategy and outflanked its conventional military superiority. These are alarming omens for Israel in a war that has not gone well.


Nor is this a war between sovereign nations. Israel is fighting in Lebanon but it is not fighting the Lebanese state. It fights a sub-group of the nation with its privatised militia outsourced to Iran. As Israel's senior statesman Shimon Peres says, Hezbollah has dual objectives: to destroy Israel and to turn Lebanon into an Islamist state.

The flaw in Israel's tactics is embarrassingly apparent. It cannot defeat Hezbollah in its own right. It can win only by strengthening the Lebanese state, yet its military campaign threatens to weaken and cripple Lebanon, leaving it hostage to internal sectarianism and Hezbollah's rising prestige.

This war reveals the transformation of the Middle East. It transcends the old debate about trading land for peace, a process that appears quaintly secular and negotiable. The "land for peace" idea that governed the post-1967 struggle is in eclipse after the Palestinian rejection of president Bill Clinton's 2000 negotiation and Yasser Arafat's launch of his intifada.

The irony of this war is that it is designed to underwrite not Israel's expansion but its withdrawal from land. The war, from Israel's perspective, is about whether the "separation" strategy of former prime minister Ariel Sharon is viable. Sharon planned to withdraw from Gaza and most of the West Bank because he recognised, finally, that holding these territories was more a liability than an asset for Israel.

Convinced it had no peace partner with the Palestinians, Israel's new strategy, leveraged off Sharon's authority, became that of separation. Sharon created a new party, Kadima, that Ehud Olmert took to victory at the 2006 poll when the Israeli public gave democratic approval to a new defensive strategy that assumed any comprehensive political settlement was far off.

The issue now is whether Israel has run out of options. Will Kadima's entire political rationale of seeking security instead of occupation be validated? Can Israel actually obtain security in separation?

The doubts arise because of its new enemy. The Islamisation of this conflict is apparent in the victory of Hamas, the rise of Hezbollah, the growing influence of Iran and the synthesis of religious fanaticism, grassroots politics and epic geo-strategic goals. The old days of defeating the Egyptian and Syrian armies must invoke nostalgia. These days northern Israel is being hit by several thousand Hezbollah rockets.


Hamas and Hezbollah are parties fuelled by the grievances created by Israel's power. Hezbollah has converted southern Lebanon into a mini-Shi'ite state backed by Iran and Syria, running health and welfare services, propounding an Islamist ideology that denies Israel's right to exist and prosecutes the global jihad against the US.

Hezbollah's 1983 suicide bombing of the US marine barracks in Beirut, killing more than 200 US troops and forcing president Reagan to withdraw from Lebanon, now appears as an omen of a future that neither the US nor Israel seems able to manage.

Israel holds no Hezbollah territory and withdrew from Lebanon in 2000. Yet the Arab narrative has turned that withdrawal into a story of Israeli weakness and Islamic strength, just as Israel's recent withdrawal from Gaza is being slotted into the same narrative. This war is converting Hezbollah into heroes. The alarm has registered in Israel and the West with one consistent theme from Olmert, Tony Blair and George Bush: any settlement must not allow Hezbollah to emerge a winner. It is not apparent how this will be achieved.

While Hezbollah provoked this conflict, it is Israel that launched a wider war against Hezbollah. It must be doubted whether Sharon would have taken the bait. He surely would have been more wary of the pitfalls in Lebanon and more aware of the risks to his separation strategy. This war is likely only to damage Israel as its long-run position deteriorates further.

The first military lesson is that Israel has been embarrassed to find Hezbollah more formidable than it imagined. Olmert has had to modify his military goals. At the outset, Israel talked of "breaking" Hezbollah, but now it seeks a UN force with teeth to contain its militia. Quite a retreat. The second military lesson is that Hezbollah, as its leader Hassan Nasrallah says, "needs only to survive to win", a convenient yet probably accurate view if you define survival as the retention of its military option.

The third military lesson, intangible yet potent, is that Hezbollah's resistance has undermined the mystique of Israeli military power, just as the Iraq intervention has undermined the mystique of US military invincibility. These may be false perceptions but they are energising the jihadists.

The political lessons seem even bleaker. Weakening Lebanon plays into Hezbollah's aspiration to shift Lebanon into the Shi'ite orbit. The civilian casualties will lengthen Hezbollah's recruiting lines, promote deeper hatred of Israel and ferment radicalisation of the Islamic world against Israel and the US.

The core problem seems to be the appeal of the Islamist movement. It is depressing to think the Middle East post-9/11 is being redefined in terms of the global war between the West and militant Islamists.
This war has included the successful 2001 attack on the US, the defeat of the Taliban, the US intervention in Iraq and the retaliatory insurgencies within Iraq and Afghanistan that leave the US exposed. This wider war has promoted the rise of Iran, simultaneous with the rise of Shia power. Iran's President, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, seeks to lead this populist new radicalism by his quest for a nuclear weapon and his rhetorical extremism that denies Israel's right to exist and promotes the cult of martyrdom. In this sense the conflict may possess another dimension as part of the struggle between America and Iran, with Israel and Hezbollah as proxies.

Despite its firepower, Israel is starting to look vulnerable, a nation running low on strategic options. The US and Europe need to intervene urgently with a diplomatic strategy that exploits the alarm of the Arab states about Iran and turns back the clock towards negotiation. At this point the war option just fuels the Islamists.

theaustralian.news.com.au



To: AK2004 who wrote (300797)8/20/2006 7:38:05 PM
From: tejek  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1580249
 
re: The same thing can be said about WTC. Your Arrogance won a you an egg in the face, keep it up moron.

Finally, I knew you are were among those in Egypt or somewhere else who celebrated 9/11

As far as egg in the face do recall that you and your pal's wanted to destroy Tel Aviv for years and all they got is a lot of dead arabs


The times are a-changing.........you might want to address what mistakes Israel made attacking Hezbollah and how they played right into their hands. I have to believe that Sharon would never have made the mistakes Olmert has made. I was no fan of Sharon but he at least was clever.