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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: michael97123 who wrote (198624)	8/22/2006 4:11:25 PM
From: Hawkmoon	Respond to of 281500

No.. I captured your point. Should the US presence in Iraq become more unpopular, public opinion will force the pull-out of US troops. I fully understand this. Which is why I think we saw Bush trying to emphasize the consequences of such an action yesterday to such a degree. He's right, IMO. We think the situation is bad in Iraq now, but most of us are not contemplating the consequences of a US withdrawal and subsequent struggle over both the religious heart of Shi'ism and the second largest oil reserves (and potentially the largest) on the planet. Millions of people will be fleeing the fighting, and it's quite likely that Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Jordan, and Syria will all invade Iraq in order to confront the obvious threat they would perceive from a Shi'ite Islamic state on their borders. This would be combined with Iran attempting to cut off the supply of oil via the Straits of Hormuz, which would naturally require the US Navy to become involved. No.. there are far more sinister scenarios to contemplate than the current insurgency in Iraq. And those scenarios aren't going to give a rat's @ss about US public opinion. Hawk