SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Technology Stocks : Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Lizzie Tudor who wrote (70957)8/27/2006 8:06:22 PM
From: RetiredNow  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 77400
 
No, I agree with you that this year hasn't been that good. I'm only up 3%+. And yes, I've earned more in my savings account than in my stock holdings. Ouch.

However, the last 3 years have been good to me, though admittedly, nothing like the 90's. Frankly, I don't think we'll ever see anything like the 90's again in my lifetime. Those are once in a lifetime events. The sooner you and everyone else on these threads start internalizing that reality, the sooner you will diversify and ensure you get a steady, decent return for the long term. The 90's were an aberration, a statistical anomaly.

As far as the S&P500, it's up 3.7% this year. That's a positive return. After inflation, it's barely positive. But no, that's not good, but this year is to be expected considering it comes directly after a three year period (2003-2005) when the S&P500 returned an avg annualized rate of 13%. That's an above average return by anyone's measure.



To: Lizzie Tudor who wrote (70957)8/27/2006 9:01:20 PM
From: GVTucker  Respond to of 77400
 
Lizzie, RE: I guess it comes down to your window for whether it has been a good 3 years in the stock market.

The 3 year return for the S&P 500 (from Aug 25 03 to Aug 25 06) is 35.6%, or 10.7% annualized. That is perfectly acceptable.

For the Nasdaq composite over the same period, the annualized return has been 6.5%, not stellar, certainly but still acceptable, and still a far ways away from a bear market.

A correction is traditionally defined as a drop of 10%. We haven't even had that. A bear market is defined as a drop of 20%. We're a long, long ways away from that.

edit: peak to trough this year, we have had a drop of 10%, as was pointed out to me by others. We haven't had a 20% drop, no matter how you slice it, though.