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Politics : WAR on Terror. Will it engulf the Entire Middle East? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Haim R. Branisteanu who wrote (16141)8/28/2006 9:49:14 AM
From: Scoobah  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 32591
 
a CONFUSING ARTICLE:

From failure in Iraq to defeat in Gaza
By Akiva Eldar

After weeks of distress, the weekend polls finally offered a bit of comfort to Benjamin (Bibi) Netanyahu's depressed friends in the Bush administration and the neoconservative think tanks in Washington. Ehud Olmert disappointed them when he counted to 10 before sending soldiers into the killing fields of Lebanon. The Israel Defense Forces also failed to deliver the goods in the war against the "Axis of Evil."

But behold, the polls reveal that the nation dwelling in Zion has finally sobered up from the delusion of peace. The mortal blows absorbed by both the front lines and the home front did not make Israelis understand the limits of force. They were not, heaven forbid, dragged in the wake of those defeatist intellectuals who refuse to recognize the Middle Eastern reality and beat their pens into swords. The masses are coming home, to their Bibi, the best student in the class, the one who knows how to deal with the Arabs. And to Avigdor Lieberman as well.

The failure of the second Lebanon War, like the problematic results of the unilateral disengagement from Gaza, has many fathers, both civilian and military. They will presumably be called to account over their flawed decisions, faulty protective measures and poor provisioning. But George Bush and his people, whose policies have contributed to the deterioration of Israel's national security, will not only emerge unscathed; their Israeli branch will once again flourish on the ruins of the Galilee and be nourished by the army's failures. Yet their failed "democratization," which threatens the governmental stability of many states in the region, will bring to power a coalition that will perpetuate the occupation and legitimize transfer in the country that is (still) considered the only democracy in the Middle East.

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In a lengthy article published in American Prospect Online, Flynt Leverett, who served during Bush's first term as senior director for Middle East affairs at the National Security Council and a member of the State Department's policy planning staff, described the wonders of the president's Middle East policies. Leverett recalled that following the September 11, 2001 terror attacks, countries such as Syria and Iran offered to help thwart Al-Qaida and Taliban terrorism. He and his colleagues in the State Department recommended accepting this offer, on the assumption that tactical cooperation with these countries would pave the way for persuading them to abandon terrorist activity against Israel. The quid pro quo would have been a return to a positive strategic relationship with the United States and the advancement of a credible plan to resolve the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.

But Bush and his advisers preferred to use the stick and skip the carrots. They decided to impose the democratic system on the Arab nations by force. There were no discounts and no exceptions, not even for the occupied Palestinian people or the minority Alawite government in Syria.

Dr. Leverett, who is currently a senior researcher in Washington's Brookings Institute, recalled that during one internal discussion, Bush expressed confidence that democratization would promote an Israeli-Palestinian agreement. How? "By shaping a Palestinian leadership more focused on internal governance (i.e., providing services such as collecting garbage) and less 'hung up' on final-status issues like territory, settlements, and Jerusalem."

And what happened when democratic elections brought Hamas to power? America boycotted the elected government and demanded that the Palestinian president dissolve it, for the greater glory of democratization and the stability of the Middle East.

No commission of inquiry will prevent the next Katyusha attack on Kiryat Shmona or the Qassam fire on Sderot. In the best case, if the government implements its recommendations, fewer fighters will be killed in the next war in the north and fewer civilians will be hurt in the conflict in the south. The correct way to achieve security was and remains strengthening the pragmatic Arab-Israeli coalition vis-a-vis the fanatic Arab-Iranian coalition.

This change of strategic direction will not be achieved by bringing to power the Israeli neoconservatives - people who share the American worldview that led the Middle East from failure in Iraq to defeat in Gaza. If that turns out to be the protest movement's contribution, the IDF's demand for a NIS 30 billion budget supplement must be taken seriously, in order to prepare for the war that is just around the corner.



To: Haim R. Branisteanu who wrote (16141)8/28/2006 2:33:33 PM
From: Scoobah  Respond to of 32591
 
Its harder to see where Hezbollah won:

It appears that the PLO is also the big loser in Lebanon,

did Sharon's strategy win in the end?


Hizbullah dismantles 14 posts near the Shaba Farms
By Israel Insider staff and partners August 28, 2006

Security sources in south Lebanon have reported that Hezbollah has dismantled 14 outposts in the Shaba Farms area near the border with Israel, Israel Radio said on Monday.

According to the report, the militant organization blocked entry to the outposts using bulldozers. Trucks removed from the area rockets, weapons and other munitions. Vehicles also cleared furniture and equipment from the outposts, Haaretz reported.

Eyewitnesses have said that bulldozers were used to flatten the bases in the Arkov area and block access to tunnels and bunkers. Witnesses also said that Hezbollah vehicles were making their way north loaded with the arms and equipment, according to the report.

The radio also said the Lebanese daily As-Safir reports that the Lebanese army has begun deploying forces along the country's border with Syria. Dirt roads used by smugglers have been blocked, and troops now patrol along the border in vehicles and on foot, according to the report.

Meanwhile, the Lebanese government demanded from Palestinians in refugee camps in the Litani area to disarm in accordance with UN Security Council Resolution 1701, senior Fatah operative in Lebanon, Monir Al-Makdah, said on Monday morning.

Reportedly, Lebanese Prime Minister Faud Saniora made the request to Fatah representative in Lebanon Abbas Za'aki.

The Jerusalem Post reported that Al-Makdah rejected the demand in an interview with Jordanian newspaper Al-Dostur, saying that the Security Council resolution was illegal since it did not include the right of return for Palestinian refugees.



To: Haim R. Branisteanu who wrote (16141)8/29/2006 12:41:47 PM
From: Scoobah  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 32591
 
this looks to me liek the end of Israel as we knew it:

The northern tip of the West Bank was designated “Jihadland” by Shin Bet Director Tuesday

August 29, 2006, 6:19 PM (GMT+02:00)

Yuval Diskin revealed that the security service he heads had strongly advised the former prime minister Ariel Sharon to refrain from evacuating the northern West Bank last summer, for fear of its falling into the hands of the most extremist Palestinian fundamentalists terrorists – as in fact has happened.

In an exhaustive briefing to the Knesset foreign affairs and defense committee Tuesday, Aug. 29, the Shin Bet director described further deterioration on the Palestinian anti-Israel warfront.

He reported Palestinians Hamas terrorists are building an army modeled on Hizballah. Iranian terror experts together with quantities of Katyusha and Grad rockets are being smuggled through the Egyptian-Gaza Strip border past European inspectors and Egyptian police units.

Sinai, said Diskin, has become a “paradise for weapons traffickers” with Egyptian forces standing idly by. The Shin Bet director said Hamas is reorganizing as a regular army modeled on Hizballah with a proper chain of command and is building fortified bunkers and tunnels in the Gaza Strip.

Diskin also told the lawmakers that he offered the army trained Shin Bet interrogators for questioning Lebanese prisoners about the two Israeli hostages in Hizballah’s hands. But he was rebuffed with a “No, thank you.”



To: Haim R. Branisteanu who wrote (16141)8/31/2006 10:47:22 AM
From: Scoobah  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 32591
 
If Israel had only a year to live

By Bradley Burston

If you knew that Israel had just a year to live, would you see it differently?

If, as a Muslim, you knew that Iran, in the name of Islam, was about to turn the Jews of the Holy Land into ash, how would it influence your outlook, your beliefs, your actions?

If as a Diaspora Jew, you knew that you were about to be all that was left of the Jewish people, would that affect your observance, your identification, the direction of your social conscience?

These days, the questions are more than merely theoretical, a point which grass-roots reactions to the recent war drove home with telling effect. Certainly never before was this newspaper, a clearinghouse and meeting place for passionate opinions on both sides, so swamped with messages haunted by the prospect of - or explicitly advocating - genocide.

Iran's certainly thought about it. They've calculated that since Iran's land mass is some 86 times that of Israel, they could take a nuclear first or second strike and still reduce the Jewish state to Alamogordo glass.

So how would it work, if those who would have Israel disappear got their way?

Some of it we know. Some of it we've already seen. We know that there would be jubilation in Arab capitals, as well as broad swaths of Malaysia, Indonesia, Detroit, San Francisco, London and Paris.

There are also millions upon millions of Muslims which the annihilation of Israel would give serious pause. Perhaps a reconsideration of the wisdom of having granted jihadists a broad measure of respect in avenging Israel's killing of Muslim civilians - and avenging the very existence of Israel - by killing Jewish civilians.

Perhaps, as well, a reconsideration of having given so public a stage to radical Islam, and of having remained on the sidelines - or voicing roundabout but heartfelt justifications - as murders were committed in the name of justice, in the name of defending the Prophet, in the name of restoring Muslim honor, in the name of fighting Bush, in the name of Allah.

What we don't know, is how the Jews of North America would respond. Not the minority that is active in Jewish or Israel-oriented organizations, not the minority that takes active part in synagogue or Jewish community life.

What about the others? The majority.

There's no question that for many American Jews, Israel has already ceased to exist. It is a dot on a map, an unfamiliar, perhaps dead-end branch on a fading family tree.

It only makes sense. Some are alienated by the character of North American Judaism. The liturgy doesn't speak to them. The culture doesn't speak to them. Their interests lie elsewhere, in social action, in making a living, in making a lifestyle, in getting through the day.

For many of the generation of Jews now in their 20s and 30s, it appears, Israel is simply not relevant. Life is too short. Life is too full. Life is too promising, to have it be dragged down by that bummer of a distant Promised Land.

It's the wrong promise.

There's too much to answer for. Jews - heirs to what we prefer to recall as the Old Testament prophets' social vision of Judaism as exponent of equality, generosity, humanity, Swords to Plowshares - don't want to be thrown into the First Samuel reality of swords, swords, and swords.

Maybe, in the end, all of this is a healthy thing. Maybe North American Jewry should begin to think about a future without a state of Israel.

Maybe it's time for the Jewish world's largest Diaspora to start acting like it.

Maybe it's time that a healthy, unselfconscious, reduced-neurosis authentic American Jewish culture emerged.

Not because Israel is about to be erased.

Rather, to make sure that in the future, American Judaism is not.