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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: ild who wrote (68978)8/28/2006 7:16:11 PM
From: Ramsey Su  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 110194
 
ild,

I have done everything the article mentioned. Bidding at the courthouse steps was very exciting, with that big cashier's check in your pocket.

Coincidentally, I spent the better part of my day looking at REOs. Specifically, I was looking at the "Bank Owned Properties" in San Diego. realtytrac.com

Take a look at Orange County on this map, it does not seem to agree with the OCRegister. All I can say is realtytrac appears to be accurate for SD and have no reason to doubt their accuracy for OC.

Realtytrac showed there were 888 REOs already, which is really a very big number for San Diego. I actually did not remember SD having that many during the worst years when I was the business.

So I did a cross reference to see if I can find any more data. I took the first 10 properties that I can find information on and the results shocked me. ALL TEN PROPERTIES HAD 100% FINANCING OR HIGHER.

I thought bubble areas such as SD should have a little cushion from a couple of years of strong appreciation but this is obviously not the case.

The lenders are going to be taken a beating and this is just the beginning. I do not see how we can avoid a very hard landing.