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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: CalculatedRisk who wrote (68992)8/28/2006 6:39:45 PM
From: CalculatedRisk  Respond to of 110194
 
I just checked the data for the Fed Funds probabilities. I think a rate cut might make the chart (previous post) in the next week or two.

The odds of 5.75% (50 bps of hikes over the next two meetings) are only slightly higher than 5.0% (25 bps rate cut) by October.



To: CalculatedRisk who wrote (68992)8/28/2006 8:49:44 PM
From: mishedlo  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
The Psychology of Deflation
globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com
Mish



To: CalculatedRisk who wrote (68992)8/28/2006 8:51:50 PM
From: mishedlo  Respond to of 110194
 
Actually a very interesting thing happened first in the UK then it carried over to the US.

The Yield curve is flat as a pancake for years in the future.
You can look at short sterling or eurodollar futures and see it.

Perhaps I should do a blog on that idea.

Mish


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