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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Perspective who wrote (69275)9/2/2006 9:56:36 AM
From: russwinter  Respond to of 110194
 
Commercials are the smart money. The timing of a break is uncertain, but what this lopsided positioning tells you is that it could be violent when it occurs.



To: Perspective who wrote (69275)9/2/2006 11:32:40 AM
From: Arran Yuan  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 110194
 
The other interpretation is that they think BoJ is done with raising, while BBB may consider resuming cutting early in 2007?



To: Perspective who wrote (69275)9/2/2006 6:14:23 PM
From: ild  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
<<<So, why are they doing that *now*? Convinced that the Fed is done, the recession is on, and yields have nowhere to go but down now?>>>

Who are "they"? Commercials or big specs? Commercials are currently betting that the yields will go up.



To: Perspective who wrote (69275)9/2/2006 6:50:27 PM
From: ild  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
What do you see from this chart?
Commitment of Traders for 10 Year Note, Commercial Hedger, Previous Five Years.


From schaeffersresearch.com