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Biotech / Medical : Biotech Valuation -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Doc Bones who wrote (21164)9/6/2006 9:31:29 AM
From: Biomaven  Respond to of 52153
 
list of top holdings

But note (as always) that some of my list simply reflects tax-driven inertia after a runup - that's the case with TEVA (acquired in merger) and ADRX (acquired in an options play after their dive). Absent tax considerations these would not be my numbers 1 and 2 pick.

Peter



To: Doc Bones who wrote (21164)9/6/2006 10:13:24 AM
From: John Metcalf  Respond to of 52153
 
"There was talk about Central Banks, e.g. in Japan, soaking up liquidity. which seemed to hit speculative stocks hard, and rumors of Hedge Funds collapsing. Then in August they bounced back, why I don't know, but I'll take it."

Message 22643775

The talk was a press conference in New York by the central bankers of Japan, EU, and US about jointly fighting inflation by contracting liquidity. BOJ withdrew over $200B, causing panic amongst yen-carry traders, who sold all asset classes, but particularly unwound commodity and emerging market plays. Yen rose with this unwinding (110 per USD in early May), putting further pressure on the carry trade. Now, the carry trade is back, yen is down (117 per USD last week), and so forth. With an election coming in Japan, one suspects that there was political pressure to maintain liquidity rather than risk choking economic expansion. And of course, there is a long history of BOJ acting to maintain exports by cheapening the yen.

When huge sums are withdrawn from speculative traders, there's widespread impact on markets. One could look for issues with low betas, but I suspect that the trend-buckers are news-driven.



To: Doc Bones who wrote (21164)9/6/2006 12:58:42 PM
From: Ian@SI  Respond to of 52153
 
p.s. Thanks for your list of top holdings, Peter, I'm always interested.

Wouldn't we all prefer to see what will be on his list of top holdings next month? <G>