To: Snowshoe who wrote (9236 ) 9/12/2006 6:21:03 PM From: elmatador Respond to of 217556 "get a job as Brazil's official ethanol spokesman"? Uhm, you don't you know Brazil. I would need to have a lot of friends. Which I don't. Then supposed I would go for it: I would approach the ethanol industry with my ideas. They'd say they'd think about. Then next week, they would steal the ideas and you would be seeing and reading a young man with gel in his hair with good suit as spokesman for ethanol. You would ask who's this guy, Elmat? Then I would seek information and I'd discover he would be the son, nephew or whatever of some well connected person. So I prefer to talk about ethanol to my friends here. Why? Brazil will be doing well in the next decades not because there has been significant changes in the country that made it more competitive than it was before. It is just the demographic window of several countries happening at once and that's benefiting the country's industries in which it is competitive: Divided into three major segments: semi-manufactured: skins and leather (200 million cows' herd and biggest beef exporter may convince you that there's a lot of leather being produced. soy meal for feed stock. Raw sugar. unrefined soy oil. Frozen orange juice Manufactured: electrical motors, pumps, compressors, auto parts, autos, airplanes, footwear. Basic products: corn, Soya, coffee (all that stuff in grain) iron ore, tobacco in leaves, beef, pork meat, chicken meat, To that it will be added ethanol. Brazil says will more than double ethanol exports by 2010Message 22804084 Beyond being the farms and mines of the world, Brazil can't do much. Among this 186million population, which is perhaps 96 million economic active, you would have 6 million in condition of working in a truly modern economy. Very low level of basic education here. So we continue to be a country that employs lots of people in labor intensive sectors and those sectors are the ones we are competitive. As a result the country is, naturally, settling to participate in the world economy in which it can employ the other 90 million that can't work in a modern economy and compete with the US, Europe and Japan. Why the US and Brazil don't reach an agreement in trade? Because Brazil don't open the services market to the US companies and refuses to open agribusiness to Brazil. Brazil service sector would be trounced by the US in services: Insurance, construction, banking, government tender...