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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: orkrious who wrote (69943)9/19/2006 12:57:11 PM
From: John Vosilla  Respond to of 110194
 
'..the B wave from the '02-'03 lows looks remarkably similar to the early 1970's B wave that ended in early '73 (at a then slight new ATH for the Dow). the subsequent bear market produced a 56% nominal and nearly 70% real terms decline within two years.'

I would love to see a chart that overlays the DOW, 10 yr treasury, fed funds, oil and gold for 1972-74. If anyone has one please post..



To: orkrious who wrote (69943)9/19/2006 2:00:22 PM
From: ild  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
RIP@Hunt -- trotsky, 13:51:07 09/19/06 Tue
you wrote: "And it's not another Hunt raid.
Even he didn't want the actual metal."

this is actually not true. the Hunts stored hundreds of millions of ounces in Swiss warehouses and often took delivery on their COMEX silver contracts - this was in fact the main reason for the blow-off move, the market was well and truly cornered.

@Thailand -- trotsky, 13:39:23 09/19/06 Tue
funny enough, the Thai King is in fact quite cool. he prevented the government from instituting a number of Bush-style 'anti-terrorism' laws (since these laws are modern-day Orwell-speak for creating a quasi-police state, which the King opposes).
it is the now deposed pm who's the reactionary rightwinger over there (if it's still the same one as two years ago...i haven't kept track).
anyway, he can declare 'states of emergency' all day long from is hotel room in NY - they probably won't even let him land anymore in Thailand.
this sure is a surprising development though - i always thought Thailand's democratic dispensation was quite safe.