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To: RonMerks who wrote (2468)9/25/2006 10:53:03 AM
From: paul ross  Respond to of 50730
 
HUI close to where it started the year at 276.90.....if this rally in gold is anything like that of 1986-90 and 94-96 we will see a significant correvction of 40-50%...something we have not witnessed from 2000 low around 250....and even in 86 and 96 we saw rallies after the 50% retracements to back close to the highs (2nd chance)..this was even in bear markets rallies of those days...the only thing different to me at this juncture is that the rallies of 10 and 20 years ago saw a lot more public entrance into market at the highs.Jr gold and silver stocks had significant rallies and frenzied interest ....something this gold market has been devoid of...I agree we'll most likely see mid 400's on gold....then a 2nd rally at least close to matching the 6/2006 high....then after that ???......don't quite see a strong H&S on your chart