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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: russwinter who wrote (70636)9/29/2006 11:42:19 AM
From: John Vosilla  Respond to of 110194
 
<<The point is the Ponzi debt backs these properties, and this can only be supported by more Ponzi units, to pay the old units, and that is inherently unstable. Can only mean one thing, a crash, or some kind of financial asset deflation (not to be confused with consumer inflation) is in the works.>>

So what triggers the blowup? Perhaps a big accounting scandal at a major financial institution that ripples through the banking industry? Or a sharp backup in long term rates? Ramifications of a sustained inverted yield curve and lack of reserves for losses from the coming foreclosure tsunami not being reflected anywhere yet. Something has to give. Yes anything but an increase in the purchasing power of your dollar (outside of bubble assets<g>) is possible..



To: russwinter who wrote (70636)9/29/2006 6:30:25 PM
From: mishedlo  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
The larger issue is that there is way too much ficticious capital (capital without real backing) out there, right at the time that the actual servicing or return on this capital is shrinking.

I could not possibly agree more.
You know the next line don't you?
That is a massive deflationary pressure preluding a credit crunch

Mish