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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: TobagoJack who wrote (9772)9/30/2006 3:03:52 AM
From: elmatador  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 217654
 
Coup is intended to loot the money of Thaksin not to disturb the populace.

There ate three levels in all countries in the world.

The level (1) where the power is

The level (2) where the business and people who implement what the power tell them to do. Thaksin or no Thaksin this level has just to do what the power (level above them) tells them to do. They obey since they leave off the little power that the level above them delegates to them.

The level (3) of the populace lives. You are here. So the populace just gets a discount of a few cents of the Baht (Satang I supposed) and get away with their survival.

Take the US. They have had over 230 years to perfect their system. It worls flawlessly.

The level (1) where the power is. And Washington creates in the minds of people the country is a free market and power is with the people and other things school kids are taught.

The level (2) where the business and people who implement what the power tell them to do.

The level (3) of the populace lives.

Of course being much more sophisticated and with more money than Thailand they have better mechanisms to implement the same thing that the junta does.



To: TobagoJack who wrote (9772)9/30/2006 3:15:51 PM
From: Maurice Winn  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 217654
 
TJ, how much is a cup of coffee where you are? I don't think it is US$10 or anywhere near it. And the average price of a cup of coffee in Thailand/China/India determines when the Dow reaches 16,000, as that's where most CDMA is sold. Financial relativity theory is founded on CDMA-powered cyberspace and cups of coffee. There are other variables, such as hamburgers and purchasing price parity in the McDonald's measurement method, but you can get by with coffee and cyberspace as data.

The price of a cup of coffee in the USA is correlation, not causation. A cup of coffee is about $4 in the USA at Starbucks, [which is insanely expensive, but there it is]. The Dow is already 11,000. A 50% increase in the Dow would see 16,000. A 50% increase in a cup of coffee would see $6.

I guess the 16,000 will be reached when a cup of coffee is $5, or perhaps not even any more than it is now since there are a LOT of people picking coffee around the world, and a LOT of people working for minimum wage in the USA. NZ is producing lots of milk. China produces lots of cups. Water is available. China produces lots of tables and chairs. Buildings aren't going up in price where they serve coffee.

Interest rate increases have stopped. Housing prices are stopped. A bit of a squeeze is on. I don't expect to be given extra bonus Happy Meals each month for my USD. I'm getting 5.25% which isn't as good as what I can get on QCOM in a couple of years. A future P:E of 10 on current share price is being offered now. That's a lot better than 5%.

Feb 2007 for Dow 16,000 might even be doable. Except that people selling houses might depress share prices somewhat as they cash up various investments to repay loans and buy groceries. Maybe Feb 2008 would be more realistic. Heck, that's 6 years late. It's going to rise in a hurry when it does.

Mqurice