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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Joe NYC who wrote (305251)10/4/2006 11:14:46 AM
From: American Spirit  Respond to of 1573344
 
Today's poll shows Dems well ahead in over 20 Congressional races, and these polls do not factor in the entire Foleygate matter. realclearpolitics.com

On the senate side, Dems probably have 4 seats in the bag with 3 more tied. So if they win two of those three they take over. Foleygate will hurt George Allen and Jim Talent quite a bit and Harold Ford is coming on strong in Tenn. Dems might just take all of them.

Consider that even when Bush had 42% support, only 20% of that was strong support, while his disapprovals of about 55% were 40% strong disapprovals. So over halkf of Bush (and the GOP rightwing)'s support is soft, which means those people might ignore election day.

The religious right was being counted on to get out the vote but Foleygate is the worst thing that could happen. Those religious right voters fear gays more than anything. And more GOP congressmen who are gay may soon be outed.

The GOP has a ton of cash to buy TV ads, but what issue do they have left? Terrorism? (Rice-Bush just outed as being AWOL on terror before 9-11 and Iraq has helped terrorists) Tax cuts? (not that important to most people) Immigration? (Bush is still pro illegal workers) Iraq victory (no!)