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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Maurice Winn who wrote (9910)10/8/2006 6:11:48 AM
From: elmatador  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 218598
 
You have put it in a good context, and I agree with much of what you wrote. Looking carefully, it was the end of an era. It ended the era that:
Technology was seen as going on forever.
Technology as a sacred cow and source of all the wealth and power
Dominating technology was a condition since qua non for any country to develop

That view, fruit of 200 years of applied science is now open to serious reconsideration.

NAH! Don’t jump into the conclusion which you are master of, to say: “Elmat do you mean the aborigines living in Amazonian jungle have the upper hand now?

What I’m saying is: Today technology is trivialized. Any 15 year old cam master or make impact with it. It can be taught to second graders….

Ok, don’t tell too, that it is the result of high science and it is that high science that makes it possible. Granted it is. Come on! You know it! Even you son can build a telecoms company!

Fact was that by 2000 we had much more technology than we could make use of. Probably we could stop all R&D in the majority of the sectors and wait for 10 years.

We had 3G and we had 4G, but that will be fully implemented by 2015!! And we have all the circuit switches still there and they will be good until 2020!

All that resulted form the millions of poor kids going to school seeking a career in technical field. That created a huge pool of engineers -all earning little money- made possible develop new stuff for a few cents.

Perhaps the kids are rethinking now. Better to learn mining and metallurgy since the next era is the era of materials. Or they can learn chemistry and go out develop bio-fuels. Technology? Dirty cheap. You don’t need to master it. There are lots of people ready to go and give to you free of charge; Like Ericsson donates its core switches in the hope to earn money selling software to support services. Or vendors financing 130% of a project for a guy who’s got only licence.

That was the collapse. And that don’t augur well for the developed countries that got rich by dominating technology. China to growth without spending money on R&D. All they’ve got is free of charge.



To: Maurice Winn who wrote (9910)10/8/2006 6:13:51 AM
From: elmatador  Respond to of 218598
 
TJ: China growth without spending money on R&D. All they’ve got is free of charge.
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