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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: TobagoJack who wrote (9953)10/9/2006 3:01:47 AM
From: energyplay  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 218304
 
Yeah, Japan and South Korea will have a shopping list for all types of weapons.

So we have lots of really bad, long term bad outcomes, which change China's neighborhood from peaceful and productive to ...armed and unknown.

I don't think China needs to obliterate North Korea...maybe just talk to the generals about regime change.

The other option would be a blitzkrieg attack, driving toward the capitol. I don't think that's a good option, but it might be possible to put enough troops on the border to make this seem possible. That might get the generals to look at regime change.

The last reasonable option would be to pull together a massive alliance under the UN, as was done for Gulf War 1.

******

What we may get is targeted air attacks from the US, most likely non-nuclear. Bombing will need to be repeated several times to cause much damage to deep installations.



To: TobagoJack who wrote (9953)10/9/2006 3:51:21 AM
From: CommanderStupido  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 218304
 
I see it differently, Jack.

Let the Chinks deal with it. By turning a blind eye they've helped to acerbate the dilema. Besides, it's in their backyard and the last thing they want is an arms race in the region. Tawain could use this an excuse to arm - then where would People's Repubic be? Yeah, with modernization comes responsibilities. China is growing up but needs to mature and quit playing games. They've had a pretty sh#tty attitude cooperating with the the UN to resolve the Mahbadmood Achmuhduhdinejad travesty.

The Americans have shouldered enough of the responsibility to keep the islamic kooks in check.

Willie



To: TobagoJack who wrote (9953)10/9/2006 4:27:58 AM
From: Maurice Winn  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 218304
 
It's an ill wind that blows nobody good TJ: <i imagine the US military industrial complex is jubilant, now that there is so much more to do and buy>

Bluff? What bluff? King George II wasn't bluffing. He was explaining the next move. USA troops in the area are now under significantly increased threat. A pre-emptive strike against North Korea's nucular bombs is on the cards.

The USA has lots of munitions they can test out on North Korea. Neutron bombs haven't been used in real tests yet. Or the USA could demonstrate cruise missile technology and Predator remote control systems on a regular basis in the vicinity of Kim's house.

There's an election coming up in the USA and I dare say Americans would like to see a strong action from their Republican leaders to protect USA military forces in the region and USA allies. I don't think that would put the price of gold down. It would probably stop any prospect of CDMA sales in North Korea.

Mqurice



To: TobagoJack who wrote (9953)10/9/2006 9:04:37 AM
From: carranza2  Respond to of 218304
 
japan will most assuredly go for the bomb

It would have to change its Constitution to do, a big deal.

the next line to be crossed by n.korea would be export of nuke know-how

It's been-there-done-that with Iran its main beneficiary.

unless bush is bluffing

He of course is. But he doesn't need to do so because the NKs are not nuts. Any explosion anywhere remotely connected to NK means the end of that daffy regime. It is suicidal for them to blast away or proliferate to those who will use nukes, i.e., terrorists or rogues.

Except for the NK's stupid insistence on direct US/NK talks, which won't happen now for obvious reasons, the problem belongs to Japan, SK, and China. Bush would be wise to tell them to solve it.