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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Fiscally Conservative who wrote (71474)10/9/2006 10:29:42 AM
From: dpl  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
.",I'm curious why in the last few years given so much loose credit available and those who took advantage of it why inflation was not more a concern"

Because most of the credit goes towards bidding up the price of assets.



To: Fiscally Conservative who wrote (71474)10/9/2006 12:19:22 PM
From: mishedlo  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
In the 70's we had wage price spirals
Now we have asset bubbles
First in stocks then in houses

The ramifications of bustiong those bubble will be severe as they have supported consumption

In contrast once Volker stopped the wage price spirals, falling interest rates supported consumption

This time when rates fall it wont do much of anything and houses are going to get crushed. We have headwinds now affecting both asset prices

negative savings unsustainable
home price lunacy
global wage arbitrage
slowing world economy
credit bubble that will bust

Mish