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To: CalculatedRisk who wrote (71484)	10/9/2006 11:10:57 AM
From: CalculatedRisk	Respond to of 110194

Finantial Times Analysis: North Korea test a sign of weakness ft.com MORE ON ANOTHER BUSH FAILURE. North Korea’s probable test of a nuclear weapon on Monday has triggered the second nuclear crisis in 13 years on the Korean peninsula. In 1993, North Korea announced it would pull out of the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, leaving it free to divert nuclear material from its energy reactors to make a nuclear weapon and setting off a round of crisis diplomacy led by the Clinton administration. The result was the so-called agreed framework, which – in return for supplies of fuel oil to North Korea – froze most aspects of Pyongyang’s nuclear weapons programme for the rest of the decade. The agreed framework was in effect consigned to history when the Bush administration came to power in 2001. The new administration argued that although the road to a plutonium-based nuclear bomb had been frozen, the North Koreans were cheating by attempting to develop a uranium-based bomb that was not explicitly addressed by the agreement. That five years later, North Korea has tested a nuclear weapon will be widely interpreted as a sign of the failure of the tougher approach favoured by the Bush team. <MORE>

To: CalculatedRisk who wrote (71484)	10/9/2006 9:38:53 PM
From: Yulya	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 110194

"President Clinton eventually concluded a complicated and multipart agreement in which the North Koreans would suspend their production of plutonium in exchange for fuel oil, help building light water nuclear reactors (the kind that don't help making bombs) and a vague promise of diplomatic normalization." Perhaps you can enlighten us and explain why the Clinton policy failed. A 1999 congressional analysis found that the North Koreans began breaking their word almost immediately - and by the late 1990s had resumed the production of nuclear weapons. In 2004, Clinton Secretary of State Madeleine Albright explained that she and her colleagues had been tricked by Kim Jong Il. "What they were doing, as it turns out, they were cheating," Albright admitted to NBC's "Meet the Press."