SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Gold/Mining/Energy : Big Dog's Boom Boom Room -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Ottrose who wrote (73044)10/10/2006 2:54:23 PM
From: ChanceIs  Respond to of 206199
 
>>>If politics is the guide, wouldn't the arb play of the day be long OSX/short HAL?<<<

One of the beauties of the internet is that you can plot the two against each other practically instantly. I will try to copy the chart from Big Charts:



(Hmmm. I see I got a chart, but the one I attempted to paste only went back to August 31. You acan see the divergence trend at least.)

Regardless, since August 31, OIH is down about 6% while HAL is down about 17%. Under these circumstances (fundamentals being equal - which they are clearly not) I would get long HAL and short OIH for an arb play on convergence.

I agree with the notion that the Dems will draw a bead on HAL - after they try to impeach Bush - or maybe they will draw a bead on HAL so they can try to impeach Cheney, and then Bush. Who knows.

I hate to say, but the Street likes gridlock - probably for good reason. A Dem advancement might provide the gridlock requisite for a broad market rally.



To: Ottrose who wrote (73044)10/10/2006 3:31:35 PM
From: manalagi  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 206199
 
What strike price on HAL?

Can Cramer be right (on his today's radio show)?

I like the market, with the exception of oil," said Cramer. "I want to take the oil money and put elsewhere," like in tech, financials and retail, he said.

Again the divergence is widening between the price of oil and oil stocks.