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Politics : FREE AMERICA -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: longnshort who wrote (12519)	10/12/2006 3:18:37 PM
From: Mr. Palau	Respond to of 14758

keep dreaming shorty, lol "The Libertarian Vote A new Cato Institute report says libertarians -- people who historically tend to agree with Republicans on fiscal issues and Democrats on personal freedom -- are the new swing voters. The authors estimate approximately 13% of voters fall into this category. "For those on the trail of the elusive swing voter, it may be most notable that the libertarian vote shifted sharply in 2004. Libertarians preferred George W. Bush over Al Gore by 72 to 20 percent, but Bush’s margin dropped in 2004 to 59-38 over John Kerry. Congressional voting showed a similar swing from 2002 to 2004. Libertarians apparently became disillusioned with Republican overspending, social intolerance, civil liberties infringements, and the floundering war in Iraq. If that trend continues into 2006 and 2008, Republicans will lose elections they would otherwise win." Support for War Erodes in South "Despite strong early support for the Iraq war in the South, the region’s opposition to the war now matches national levels –- and by some measures frustration is higher in the South than elsewhere in the country," according to a new Institute for Southern Studies/North Carolina State poll. House and Senate Control Within Reach Larry Sabato: "Democrats are moving up -- some rapidly -- in a wide range of competitive contests for the House, the Foley storm's chamber of direct impact. For the first time this year, your cautious Crystal Ball now projects a Democratic majority of somewhere between 221 and 225 seats (with 218 needed for control)... It is indeed noteworthy that since last month's update, the Crystal Ball can now count an additional ten House districts as truly competitive (rated either as a Toss-up or 'leaning' towards one party in our chart below)." "In the Senate we believe that control of the body is up for grabs, with Democrats nearly sure to win 15 out of the 33 total seats up this year. Four more seats are on the edge but leaning slightly towards the Democrats. The five total toss-ups will determine which party organizes the upper chamber, and the Democrats will likely need to capture all five of them to take control, a reasonable possibility given the dynamics of each race in that category."