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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Walkbarr who wrote (71864)	10/13/2006 10:26:26 AM
From: Paul Kern	Respond to of 110194

I don't buy the fact that the economy is great... We ran into a neighbor last night who sells industrial chemicals; mostly solvents and plastics. He said business "fell off a cliff about three months ago".

To: Walkbarr who wrote (71864)	10/13/2006 10:28:22 AM
From: UncleBigs	Respond to of 110194

the economy can fall apart at any time. September was a very strong month for the retailers. I don't trust anecdotes because the people reporting them typically only report the ones that support their bias.

To: Walkbarr who wrote (71864)	10/13/2006 11:16:49 AM
From: Real Man	Respond to of 110194

No. The real economy is in recession. The inflation data coming from the government is a lie. This reflects also in real GDP growth (with real inflation, negative), real earnings growth, etc. This bogus statistics allows the Fed to put a smiley face and print, causing a melt-up in stocks through Wall street boyz buying SP e-minis, and preventing a melt-down in bonds and a full scale real estate crash. The real estate is already in deep doo doo, and that will be a lot worse if 10-year and 30-year rates go up. So, the main task of the Fed and the Wall street boyz is to prevent this from happening, otherwise the Great depression will arrive. So far, the operation of lies and propping has been a complete success, but it may not last forever. So, buy some calls, and put a smiley face -g- Everything is fine -g- But don't hold any investments in US markets, bonds or stocks. World markets are dangerous as well. PMs will only be dangerous if the credit bubble collapses, but they will likely recover, since the printing that will be unleashed on these markets in case of credit bubble burst will dwarf everything else that happened so far